⚠️ Not investment advice. This is a quantitative research tool; every decision is the user's own responsibility. Past performance does not guarantee future results.⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Japan Post Holdings 6178.T

Japan Financial Services
5.6/10
AI Analyst score
2,585.00 JPY
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 2,661.25 (+2.9%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; growth and momentum are attractive, but low profitability and governance risk limit upside potential.

Japan Post Holdings is a Japanese financial conglomerate operating postal services, banking, and insurance, with an extensive retail network nationwide. Japan Post Holdings shows 97.8% profit growth and a 38.72% payout, with reasonable valuation (PER 20.01) and strong momentum (99th percentile in 52 weeks), although financial health is weak (ROE 5.12%).

Financial health
2.2
Quality / Moat
3.8
Valuation
3.9
Growth
8.0
Dividend
6.8
Momentum
9.4
Risk & Context
9.0

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E20.01
Fwd P/E20.77
EV/EBITDAN/D
P/B0.71
P/S0.62
PEG0.59
Market cap7.07 T JPY
Enterprise value-16.60 T JPY
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)3.1%
Gross margin0.00%
FCF conversionN/D
Operating margin10.33%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE5.12%
ROA0.29%
Net margin3.77%
FCFN/D
FCF yieldN/D
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt27.82 T JPY
Net debt-30.69 T JPY
Cash58.52 T JPY
EBITDAN/D
Net debt / EBITDAN/D
D/EN/D
Current ratioN/D
Quick ratioN/D
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth6.40%
Earnings growth97.80%
EPS (TTM)129.21 JPY
EPS (Fwd)124.48 JPY
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield2.32%
Payout38.7%
Beta0.22
Analyst consensusBuy (8)
Target price2,661.25 JPY
52-week range1,392.00 JPY – 2,603.00 JPY
⚠️ Main risk: Dependence on state ownership and potential political influence in management, along with a low ROE that limits shareholder value creation.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Japan Post Holdings is a Japanese financial conglomerate operating postal services, banking, and insurance, with an extensive retail network nationwide. Japan Post Holdings shows 97.8% profit growth and a 38.72% payout, with reasonable valuation (PER 20.01) and strong momentum (99th percentile in 52 weeks), although financial health is weak (ROE 5.12%).

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health2.2
Quality / Moat3.8
Valuation3.9
Growth8.0
Dividend6.8
Momentum9.4
Risk & Context9.0

OVERALL SCORE: 5.6/10

Context and risks

Moderate governance risk in Japan, with significant state ownership; although management is professional, political influence may affect strategic decisions.

News considered in the analysis

  • Japan Post Holdings (TSE:6178) Stock Looks Reasonable On Its 213% Five Year Run — Artículo de opinión sin información nueva; no afecta a la valoración.
  • Japan Post Holdings Co Ltd (JPPHY) (Q1 2027) Earnings Call Highlights: Banking Strength Offsets ... — Resultados del primer trimestre muestran fortaleza en banca que compensa debilidades en otros segmentos; refuerza la confianza en el negocio.
  • Japan Post Targets 87% Profit Surge In Three-Year Reset — Objetivo de crecimiento de beneficios del 87% en tres años es material, pero depende de la ejecución del plan estratégico; no está totalmente descontado.

Verdict: Hold; growth and momentum are attractive, but low profitability and governance risk limit upside potential.

Main risk: Dependence on state ownership and potential political influence in management, along with a low ROE that limits shareholder value creation.

Other Financial Services companies

Neighbours in the sector ranking, to compare without going back to the index.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.