
Komatsu 6301.T
Komatsu is a Japanese manufacturer of construction and mining machinery, operating globally with a business model based on the sale of equipment, services, and solutions for the infrastructure and mining sectors. Komatsu shows solid financial health (ND/EBITDA 1.55) and 14.7% revenue growth, with reasonable valuation (P/E 18.01) and a sustainable dividend (payout 45.9%). Momentum is strong (47.4% over 12 months), but negative free cash flow conversion (-5.07%) is a warning sign the market may be overlooking.
Detailed metrics
Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.
Full AI report
Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.
Komatsu is a Japanese manufacturer of construction and mining machinery, operating globally with a business model based on the sale of equipment, services, and solutions for the infrastructure and mining sectors. Komatsu shows solid financial health (ND/EBITDA 1.55) and 14.7% revenue growth, with reasonable valuation (P/E 18.01) and a sustainable dividend (payout 45.9%). Momentum is strong (47.4% over 12 months), but negative free cash flow conversion (-5.07%) is a warning sign the market may be overlooking.
Score by category
| Category | Score |
|---|---|
| Financial health | 7.1 |
| Quality / Moat | 4.1 |
| Valuation | 5.7 |
| Growth | 6.8 |
| Dividend | 7.3 |
| Momentum | 8.1 |
| Risk & Context | 6.1 |
OVERALL SCORE: 6.1/10
Context and risks
Komatsu is a heavy machinery manufacturer with exposure to emerging markets and demand for mining and infrastructure. Rising US interest rates (10-year at 5.17%) make financing more expensive for its customers, potentially dampening equipment demand. Additionally, a weak yen (high USD/JPY) is positive for export competitiveness, but global geopolitical uncertainty adds risk to its supply chain and demand in key markets.
News considered in the analysis
- Lower Crude Prices, Bond Yields, Geopolitics Roil Asian Stock Markets — Ruido de mercado general sin información específica sobre Komatsu.
- Caterpillar vs. Komatsu: Which Heavy Equipment Stock is the Better Buy? — Comparativa genérica de analistas sin información nueva material.
- Zacks Industry Outlook Caterpillar, Komatsu and Terex — Perspectiva sectorial sin datos concretos que afecten a Komatsu.
- 3 Stocks to Watch in the Promising Construction & Mining Equipment Industry — Listículo promocional sin información accionable.
- Komatsu (TSE:6301) Stock May Be Reasonable Despite Its 222% Run — Artículo que sugiere que la valoración sigue siendo razonable pese a la fuerte revalorización; refuerza la tesis de que el crecimiento no está totalmente descontado.
Verdict: Hold; the stock has solid fundamentals and momentum, but negative cash conversion and cyclical exposure warrant caution before adding positions.
Main risk: Negative free cash flow conversion (-5.07%) is the main concrete risk: despite accounting growth, cash generation is not keeping pace, which could limit the ability to maintain dividends or fund future investments.
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