⚠️ Not investment advice. This is a quantitative research tool; every decision is the user's own responsibility. Past performance does not guarantee future results.⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Komatsu 6301.T

Japan Industrials
6.1/10
AI Analyst score
7,456.00 JPY
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 6,911.82 (-7.3%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the stock has solid fundamentals and momentum, but negative cash conversion and cyclical exposure warrant caution before adding positions.

Komatsu is a Japanese manufacturer of construction and mining machinery, operating globally with a business model based on the sale of equipment, services, and solutions for the infrastructure and mining sectors. Komatsu shows solid financial health (ND/EBITDA 1.55) and 14.7% revenue growth, with reasonable valuation (P/E 18.01) and a sustainable dividend (payout 45.9%). Momentum is strong (47.4% over 12 months), but negative free cash flow conversion (-5.07%) is a warning sign the market may be overlooking.

Financial health
7.1
Quality / Moat
4.1
Valuation
5.7
Growth
6.8
Dividend
7.3
Momentum
8.1
Risk & Context
6.1

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E18.01
Fwd P/E13.42
EV/EBITDA10.93
P/B1.89
P/S1.55
PEG3.11
Market cap6.62 T JPY
Enterprise value8.17 T JPY
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)11.8%
Gross margin30.39%
FCF conversion-5%
Operating margin14.53%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE11.62%
ROA5.76%
Net margin8.94%
FCF-37.89 B JPY
FCF yield-0.57%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt1.73 T JPY
Net debt1.16 T JPY
Cash571.87 B JPY
EBITDA747.20 B JPY
Net debt / EBITDA1.55
D/E46.67
Current ratio1.96
Quick ratio0.99
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth14.70%
Earnings growth8.20%
EPS (TTM)414.09 JPY
EPS (Fwd)555.50 JPY
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield2.55%
Payout45.9%
Beta0.98
Analyst consensusHold (11)
Target price6,911.82 JPY
52-week range4,914.00 JPY – 7,840.00 JPY
⚠️ Main risk: Negative free cash flow conversion (-5.07%) is the main concrete risk: despite accounting growth, cash generation is not keeping pace, which could limit the ability to maintain dividends or fund future investments.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Komatsu is a Japanese manufacturer of construction and mining machinery, operating globally with a business model based on the sale of equipment, services, and solutions for the infrastructure and mining sectors. Komatsu shows solid financial health (ND/EBITDA 1.55) and 14.7% revenue growth, with reasonable valuation (P/E 18.01) and a sustainable dividend (payout 45.9%). Momentum is strong (47.4% over 12 months), but negative free cash flow conversion (-5.07%) is a warning sign the market may be overlooking.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health7.1
Quality / Moat4.1
Valuation5.7
Growth6.8
Dividend7.3
Momentum8.1
Risk & Context6.1

OVERALL SCORE: 6.1/10

Context and risks

Komatsu is a heavy machinery manufacturer with exposure to emerging markets and demand for mining and infrastructure. Rising US interest rates (10-year at 5.17%) make financing more expensive for its customers, potentially dampening equipment demand. Additionally, a weak yen (high USD/JPY) is positive for export competitiveness, but global geopolitical uncertainty adds risk to its supply chain and demand in key markets.

News considered in the analysis

  • Lower Crude Prices, Bond Yields, Geopolitics Roil Asian Stock Markets — Ruido de mercado general sin información específica sobre Komatsu.
  • Caterpillar vs. Komatsu: Which Heavy Equipment Stock is the Better Buy? — Comparativa genérica de analistas sin información nueva material.
  • Zacks Industry Outlook Caterpillar, Komatsu and Terex — Perspectiva sectorial sin datos concretos que afecten a Komatsu.
  • 3 Stocks to Watch in the Promising Construction & Mining Equipment Industry — Listículo promocional sin información accionable.
  • Komatsu (TSE:6301) Stock May Be Reasonable Despite Its 222% Run — Artículo que sugiere que la valoración sigue siendo razonable pese a la fuerte revalorización; refuerza la tesis de que el crecimiento no está totalmente descontado.

Verdict: Hold; the stock has solid fundamentals and momentum, but negative cash conversion and cyclical exposure warrant caution before adding positions.

Main risk: Negative free cash flow conversion (-5.07%) is the main concrete risk: despite accounting growth, cash generation is not keeping pace, which could limit the ability to maintain dividends or fund future investments.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.