⚠️ Not investment advice. This is a quantitative research tool; every decision is the user's own responsibility. Past performance does not guarantee future results.⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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SoftBank Group 9984.T

Japan Communication Services
5.5/10
AI Analyst score
6,244.00 JPY
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 7,749.71 (+24.1%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the discount to NAV is attractive, but high leverage and dependence on the valuation of its tech holdings warrant caution.

SoftBank Group is a diversified Japanese investment holding company, known for its Vision Fund, which invests in high-growth technology companies globally, including stakes in companies like Arm, Alibaba, and OpenAI. SoftBank trades at a 51% discount to its net asset value (Price/NAV 0.49), offering a margin of safety, but its financial health is fragile (Debt/Equity 130.15, current ratio 0.68) and earnings growth is negative (-17.80%).

Financial health
3.7
Quality / Moat
1.7
Valuation
9.3
Growth
4.1
Dividend
1.7
Momentum
5.2
Risk & Context
6.0

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E7.15
Fwd P/E21.15
EV/EBITDA117.11
P/B1.95
P/S4.45
PEGN/D
Market cap35.58 T JPY
Enterprise value61.84 T JPY
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)-2.0%
Gross margin51.45%
FCF conversion-414%
Operating margin-11.55%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE31.96%
ROA-0.48%
Net margin61.61%
FCF-2.19 T JPY
FCF yield-6.14%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt27.79 T JPY
Net debt23.86 T JPY
Cash3.93 T JPY
EBITDA528.07 B JPY
Net debt / EBITDA45.19
D/E130.15
Current ratio0.68
Quick ratio0.46
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth10.90%
Earnings growth-17.80%
EPS (TTM)872.69 JPY
EPS (Fwd)295.29 JPY
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.18%
Payout1.3%
Beta1.00
Analyst consensusBuy (19)
Target price7,749.71 JPY
52-week range3,365.00 JPY – 9,074.00 JPY
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is increasing leverage to fund AI investments ($25 billion loan for Arm, 9.41% financing for OpenAI) in a rising interest rate environment, which could erode shareholder value if investments underperform.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

SoftBank Group is a diversified Japanese investment holding company, known for its Vision Fund, which invests in high-growth technology companies globally, including stakes in companies like Arm, Alibaba, and OpenAI. SoftBank trades at a 51% discount to its net asset value (Price/NAV 0.49), offering a margin of safety, but its financial health is fragile (Debt/Equity 130.15, current ratio 0.68) and earnings growth is negative (-17.80%).

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health3.7
Quality / Moat1.7
Valuation9.3
Growth4.1
Dividend1.7
Momentum5.2
Risk & Context6.0

OVERALL SCORE: 5.5/10

Context and risks

SoftBank is a holding company with high exposure to long-duration tech companies (Arm, OpenAI). The rise in US interest rates to 5.17% and AI concerns pressure the valuation of its holdings and make its debt more expensive, although its discount to NAV (0.49) partially prices this in.

News considered in the analysis

  • SoftBank (TSE:9984) Stock May Still Be A Bargain On Fresh AI Debt Moves — La noticia destaca el potencial de valoración de SoftBank tras nuevas operaciones de deuda para financiar inversiones en IA, lo que podría ser positivo si las inversiones rinden.
  • SoftBank (TSE:9434) Draws Valuation Focus, Is The Upside Already Priced In? — Artículo de análisis sobre valoración sin información nueva o concreta que afecte a los fundamentales.
  • Arm Holdings Stock Fell 8% in a Day. Here’s What SoftBank’s $25 Billion Loan Means for the Stock — La caída de Arm, participada clave, impacta el valor de los activos de SoftBank. El préstamo de 25 mil millones de dólares aumenta el apalancamiento, un riesgo para el holding.
  • SoftBank Forms JV With Industrial Vehicle Automation Company — La creación de una empresa conjunta en automatización de vehículos industriales es una noticia positiva, aunque de impacto moderado, que amplía su cartera de inversiones en IA y robótica.
  • SoftBank Drops 3.2% as OpenAI Financing Locks In 9.41% — La caída de la acción refleja la preocupación del mercado por el coste de la financiación (9.41%) para la inversión en OpenAI, lo que presiona la rentabilidad esperada.

Verdict: Hold; the discount to NAV is attractive, but high leverage and dependence on the valuation of its tech holdings warrant caution.

Main risk: The main risk is increasing leverage to fund AI investments ($25 billion loan for Arm, 9.41% financing for OpenAI) in a rising interest rate environment, which could erode shareholder value if investments underperform.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.