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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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AvalonBay Communities AVB

United States Real Estate
5.6/10
AI Analyst score
184.06 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 201.71 (+9.6%)
🛒 Where to buy AVBPartner brokers · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € orderUS (NYSE/Nasdaq)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the combination of high leverage, negative growth, and sensitivity to interest rates suggests caution despite the quality of its assets.

AvalonBay Communities is a REIT that owns, develops, and manages high-quality apartment communities in major US markets, generating income primarily from renting its residential properties. AvalonBay shows acceptable financial health (6.85) but with significant leverage (ND/EBITDA 4.90x) and very negative earnings growth (-41.30%), which weighs on its profile. Valuation is average (5.3) and the dividend, although attractive (net yield 3.87%), has a very high payout ratio (96.98%).

Financial health
6.4
Quality / Moat
5.4
Valuation
5.0
Growth
2.7
Dividend
5.0
Risk & Context
7.0

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E25.25
Fwd P/E36.58
EV/EBITDA19.14
P/B2.17
P/S8.52
PEG7.17
Market cap26.28 B USD
Enterprise value35.55 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)4.4%
Gross margin62.72%
FCF conversion76%
Operating margin30.63%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE8.49%
ROA2.63%
Net margin33.32%
FCF1.41 B USD
FCF yield5.36%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt9.19 B USD
Net debt9.10 B USD
Cash90.1 M USD
EBITDA1.86 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA4.90
D/E75.13
Current ratio0.34
Quick ratio0.03
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth2.30%
Earnings growth-41.30%
EPS (TTM)7.29 USD
EPS (Fwd)5.01 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield3.87%
Payout97.0%
Beta0.77
Analyst consensusHold (17)
Target price201.71 USD
52-week range57.32 USD – 185.62 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is exposure to rising 10-year interest rates, given its high leverage (ND/EBITDA 4.90x) and the long-duration nature of its cash flows, which could further compress its valuation and growth capacity.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

AvalonBay Communities is a REIT that owns, develops, and manages high-quality apartment communities in major US markets, generating income primarily from renting its residential properties. AvalonBay shows acceptable financial health (6.85) but with significant leverage (ND/EBITDA 4.90x) and very negative earnings growth (-41.30%), which weighs on its profile. Valuation is average (5.3) and the dividend, although attractive (net yield 3.87%), has a very high payout ratio (96.98%).

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health6.4
Quality / Moat5.4
Valuation5.0
Growth2.7
Dividend5.0
Risk & Context7.0

OVERALL SCORE: 5.6/10

Context and risks

The sharp rise in 10-year rates (5.17%) is a direct headwind for a residential REIT with Net Debt/EBITDA of 4.90x, as it makes refinancing more expensive and pressures the value of long-duration assets. The position in the 99th percentile of the 52-week range amplifies sensitivity to this factor.

News considered in the analysis

  • Vivmark a potential ‘blue chip’ stock for investors: JPM analyst — Opinión de analista sobre otra empresa (Vivmark), sin información nueva sobre AvalonBay.
  • Former EQR exec Robert Garechana joins Sun Communities as CFO — Movimiento de un ejecutivo en un competidor, sin impacto directo en los fundamentales de AVB.
  • Beyond the Rent: The economic signals multifamily leaders should watch this fall — Artículo de análisis sectorial sin información específica nueva sobre AVB.
  • Why AvalonBay Communities (AVB) Is Back In The Spotlight — Titular genérico de portal financiero, sin hechos concretos o cuantificables.
  • Meet the Newest Member of the S&P 500. It's Up 365% Since Its IPO, and It Can Keep Climbing From Here. — Listículo sobre otra empresa, sin relevancia para AvalonBay.

Verdict: Hold; the combination of high leverage, negative growth, and sensitivity to interest rates suggests caution despite the quality of its assets.

Main risk: The main risk is exposure to rising 10-year interest rates, given its high leverage (ND/EBITDA 4.90x) and the long-duration nature of its cash flows, which could further compress its valuation and growth capacity.

Other Real Estate companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.