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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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American Express AXP

United States Financial Services
5.8/10
AI Analyst score
308.89 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 378.54 (+22.5%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; business quality and growth justify the premium, but valuation does not offer a sufficient margin of safety.

American Express operates an integrated global payments platform that issues credit and charge cards, and offers financial and travel services to consumers and businesses, generating revenue from interchange fees, interest, and annual fees. American Express shows solid financial health (ROE 34.38%) and revenue growth of 12.8%, but its valuation (P/E 18.73) is not particularly cheap and the rising rate environment adds pressure, although its business model is resilient.

Financial health
7.9
Quality / Moat
6.9
Valuation
3.2
Growth
6.8
Dividend
4.8
Momentum
4.6
Risk & Context
5.6

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E18.73
Fwd P/E15.31
EV/EBITDAN/D
P/B6.08
P/S2.94
PEG1.24
Market cap208.60 B USD
Enterprise value221.94 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)15.4%
Gross margin62.34%
FCF conversionN/D
Operating margin20.32%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE34.38%
ROA3.79%
Net margin16.14%
FCFN/D
FCF yieldN/D
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt59.09 B USD
Net debt13.34 B USD
Cash45.75 B USD
EBITDAN/D
Net debt / EBITDAN/D
D/E172.38
Current ratio1.55
Quick ratio1.54
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth12.80%
Earnings growth11.00%
EPS (TTM)16.49 USD
EPS (Fwd)20.18 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield1.23%
Payout21.5%
Beta1.05
Analyst consensusBuy (24)
Target price378.54 USD
52-week range290.97 USD – 387.49 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is a deterioration in the US credit cycle (weak employment) that increases provisions for credit losses in its card portfolio, impacting profitability.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

American Express operates an integrated global payments platform that issues credit and charge cards, and offers financial and travel services to consumers and businesses, generating revenue from interchange fees, interest, and annual fees. American Express shows solid financial health (ROE 34.38%) and revenue growth of 12.8%, but its valuation (P/E 18.73) is not particularly cheap and the rising rate environment adds pressure, although its business model is resilient.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health7.9
Quality / Moat6.9
Valuation3.2
Growth6.8
Dividend4.8
Momentum4.6
Risk & Context5.6

OVERALL SCORE: 5.8/10

Context and risks

The rise in 10-year Treasury yields (5.17%) and the ECB's hawkish stance make financing its credit card portfolio more expensive, although its deposit-funded model partially mitigates the impact. Weak US employment could increase credit loss provisions, a risk to its card business.

News considered in the analysis

  • A Financial Stock Can Be a Great Business and a Bad Investment. Here's How to Tell Them Apart. — Artículo genérico de educación financiera sin información específica sobre American Express.
  • 1 Top Warren Buffett Stock Trading 21% Below Its All-Time High That Can Double a $1,000 Investment in 5 Years — Titular promocional sin datos concretos sobre la empresa; no aporta información nueva.
  • American Express (AXP) Adds Business Savings And Payroll Tools — Ampliación de la oferta de productos para pymes; refuerza el foso y el crecimiento a largo plazo, aunque el impacto inmediato es moderado.
  • Most of Berkshire Hathaway's Earnings Don't Come From Its Stock Portfolio. Here's Where They Do Come From. — Artículo sobre Berkshire Hathaway, no sobre American Express; irrelevante.
  • How Has Visa's Growth Story Changed? — Análisis sobre un competidor (Visa) sin implicaciones directas para American Express.

Verdict: Hold; business quality and growth justify the premium, but valuation does not offer a sufficient margin of safety.

Main risk: The main risk is a deterioration in the US credit cycle (weak employment) that increases provisions for credit losses in its card portfolio, impacting profitability.

Other Financial Services companies

Neighbours in the sector ranking, to compare without going back to the index.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.