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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Caterpillar CAT

United States Industrials
5.3/10
AI Analyst score
821.58 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 975.61 (+18.7%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold. Quality and momentum are solid, but valuation and cycle risk limit the potential for short-term appreciation.

Caterpillar is a leading global manufacturer of heavy machinery for construction, mining, and energy, with a business model that combines equipment sales with financing and aftermarket services. Caterpillar shows exceptional quality (ROE 56.97%, ROIC 25.68%) and strong momentum (9.29), but its valuation is demanding (P/E 35.34) and its 68.2% earnings growth is likely unsustainable for a cyclical company, warranting caution.

Financial health
5.5
Quality / Moat
6.9
Valuation
2.7
Growth
7.2
Dividend
4.9
Momentum
9.3
Risk & Context
3.0

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E35.34
Fwd P/E25.38
EV/EBITDA25.65
P/B19.47
P/S5.05
PEG1.44
Market cap377.66 B USD
Enterprise value416.86 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)25.7%
Gross margin29.71%
FCF conversion31%
Operating margin22.18%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE56.97%
ROA9.03%
Net margin14.51%
FCF5.05 B USD
FCF yield1.34%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt45.15 B USD
Net debt39.20 B USD
Cash5.94 B USD
EBITDA16.25 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA2.41
D/E232.78
Current ratio1.37
Quick ratio0.78
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth24.00%
Earnings growth68.20%
EPS (TTM)23.25 USD
EPS (Fwd)32.38 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.79%
Payout26.0%
Beta1.59
Analyst consensusBuy (26)
Target price975.61 USD
52-week range467.46 USD – 1,073.46 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the slowdown in the construction sector, which could reduce demand for machinery and curb revenue and earnings growth, especially after a period of exceptional growth.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Caterpillar is a leading global manufacturer of heavy machinery for construction, mining, and energy, with a business model that combines equipment sales with financing and aftermarket services. Caterpillar shows exceptional quality (ROE 56.97%, ROIC 25.68%) and strong momentum (9.29), but its valuation is demanding (P/E 35.34) and its 68.2% earnings growth is likely unsustainable for a cyclical company, warranting caution.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health5.5
Quality / Moat6.9
Valuation2.7
Growth7.2
Dividend4.9
Momentum9.3
Risk & Context3.0

OVERALL SCORE: 5.3/10

Context and risks

Caterpillar's business is tied to construction and mining cycles. The slowdown in the construction sector, mentioned in one of the news items, is a risk to demand for its machinery. Additionally, exposure to tariffs and trade tensions could affect its costs and global competitiveness.

News considered in the analysis

  • Can Caterpillar (CAT) Keep Growing as Construction Slows? AI May Hold the Key — La noticia sugiere que la IA podría ser un motor de crecimiento futuro para Caterpillar, pero es especulativa y no hay detalles concretos sobre contratos o ingresos.
  • Caterpillar (CAT) Beats Stock Market Upswing: What Investors Need to Know — El titular indica que la acción ha superado al mercado, un hecho ya reflejado en el alto momentum (9.29) y en el precio actual.
  • Valmont Industries Targets $35 EPS by 2029 on Utility Infrastructure Boom — Noticia sobre un competidor (Valmont) y su guía, no aporta información directa sobre Caterpillar.
  • Atlas Energy Solutions (AESI) Expands Into AI Power, Is 33% Undervalued? — Noticia sobre otra empresa (Atlas Energy), sin relevancia directa para Caterpillar.
  • China agrees to buy 10 million tons of U.S. coal in 2027 and 2028 — Un acuerdo de compra de carbón a gran escala podría impulsar la demanda de maquinaria de minería de Caterpillar, aunque el impacto es indirecto y a medio plazo.

Verdict: Hold. Quality and momentum are solid, but valuation and cycle risk limit the potential for short-term appreciation.

Main risk: The main risk is the slowdown in the construction sector, which could reduce demand for machinery and curb revenue and earnings growth, especially after a period of exceptional growth.

Other Industrials companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.