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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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CAVA Group CAVA

United StatesConsumer Cyclical · RestaurantsUSD
3.8AI score
Rank 1,995 of 2,130
better than 6% of companies
52.07USD
▼ 16.2% in one year
CAVA MSCI World +22.1%
Average analyst target
82.00 USD (+57.5%)
24 analysts
52-wk low 43.41High 98.79
📈 Chart on TradingView ↗(affiliate link)Analysis of 08/10/2026

What does it do?

CAVA Group, Inc. is a fast-casual restaurant chain serving Mediterranean and Greek-inspired cuisine, with a rapid growth business model based on opening new restaurants and a strong focus on menu customization and customer experience.

Key points

from its scores
  • ✓Strong growth8.3
  • ✕Demanding valuation1.0
  • ✕Little or no dividend1.5
  • ✕Unfavourable risk and backdrop2.7

AI analysis

bottom line, main risk, context and news
Bottom line

It is not the time to enter given the extreme valuation and negative cash generation.

CAVA shows very strong revenue growth (31.30%) and a healthy balance sheet (Net Debt/EBITDA of 0.53, liquidity of 2.48), but its valuation is extremely demanding (P/E of 94.67, EV/EBITDA of 38.39) and its free cash flow conversion is negative (-0.45), which weighs on quality and investment attractiveness at these prices.

⚠ Main risk

The main risk is valuation: with a P/E of 94.67 and a negative FCF yield, any slowdown in revenue growth or restaurant openings could trigger a severe correction in the stock price.

Context and risks

No recent relevant news and no material exposure to current macro factors: the company has no significant debt (Net Debt/EBITDA of 0.53), does not depend on commodities or conflict maritime routes, and its restaurant business is not subject to specific regulatory or geopolitical risks beyond the industry standard.

Is CAVA Group stock cheap or expensive?

at the analysis date
Pricier than its sector

On P/E and EV / EBITDA, it trades 336% above the Consumer Cyclical median on average.

MultipleCompanySectorDifference
P/E94.717.8+430%
EV / EBITDA38.411.2+242%
Price / book7.22.9+152%
Price / sales4.41.3+253%

Sector: median of the 228 Consumer Cyclical companies analysed. In bold, the multiples used for the comparison.

Valuation score: 1.0 out of 10 (median for Consumer Cyclical: 6.6).

Average analyst target: 82.00 USD, +57.5% versus the price.

A premium can be justified if the company is of higher quality or grows faster than its sector: Quality / Moat 3.6 (sector 5.7), Growth 8.3 (sector 5.9).

Indicative fair value · USD
Graham15.68▼ −70% vs price
Price52.07at the analysis date

Classic formulas with standard assumptions (10.0% growth, 8-9% discount rate). Indicative only: they change a lot with the assumptions and are not a recommendation.

Work out its fair value yourself →How much would you have made investing every month? →

Comparing it with its sector does not say whether it is a good buy: this is not investment advice.

🛒 Where to buy CAVACheapest · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € orderCheapest · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € orderAvailable in your country · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € order
By the cost of that order: commission and FX, taxes excluded (public fee schedules). Brokers marked «affiliate» may pay Meridian a commission at no cost to you. This is not investment advice. · Compare all 22 brokers by real cost →

Score by category

0 to 10 · hover overtap each one to see what it measures
Financial healthiFair6.8Consumer Cyclical median: 5.7
Quality / MoatiWeak3.6Consumer Cyclical median: 5.7
ValuationiPoor1.0Consumer Cyclical median: 6.6
GrowthiGood8.3Consumer Cyclical median: 5.9
DividendiPoor1.5Consumer Cyclical median: 4.5
MomentumiPoor3.4Consumer Cyclical median: 5.5
Risk & ContextiPoor2.7Consumer Cyclical median: 5.5
Consumer Cyclical median7 or more 5 to 7 under 5

Key metrics

at the analysis date · compared with the Consumer Cyclical median
P/Ei
94.7
Consumer Cyclical: 17.8above
EV / EBITDAi
38.4
Consumer Cyclical: 11.2above
ROEi
8.3%
Consumer Cyclical: 16.0%below
Operating margini
7.6%
Consumer Cyclical: 10.5%below
Net debt / EBITDAi
0.53
Consumer Cyclical: 1.91below
Revenue growthi
+31.3%
Consumer Cyclical: +5.3%above

Valuation

P/E
94.7
Forward P/E
69.9
EV / EBITDA
38.4
Price / book
7.2
Price / sales
4.4
PEG
4.55
Market cap
6.1B USD
Enterprise value
6.2B USD

Profitability

ROE
8.3%
ROA
3.5%
ROIC (approx.)
7.7%
Gross margin
37.7%
Operating margin
7.6%
Net margin
4.8%
Free cash flow
−721,500 USD
FCF yield
−0.0%
Cash conversion
−0%

Solvency

Total debt
520.7M USD
Net debt
85.1M USD
Cash
435.6M USD
EBITDA
160.6M USD
Net debt / EBITDA
0.53
Debt / equity
61.90
Current ratio
2.48
Quick ratio
2.36

Growth

Revenue growth
+31.3%
Earnings growth
+19.8%
EPS (TTM)
0.55 USD
EPS (forward)
0.74 USD

Dividend

Dividend yield
0.0%
Payout
0.0%

Risk and market

Beta
1.81
Analyst consensus
Buy (24)
Target price
82.00 USD
52-week range
43.41 – 98.79

Compare it with its sector

All 228 in Consumer Cyclical →
See the full ranking with filters →

Keep browsing the ranking

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Frequently asked questions about CAVA Group

Is CAVA Group stock cheap or expensive?

On P/E and EV / EBITDA, it trades 336% above the Consumer Cyclical median on average. Valuation score: 1.0 out of 10 (median for Consumer Cyclical: 6.6). Average analyst target: 82.00 USD, +57.5% versus the price. This is not investment advice.

What score does CAVA Group get on MeridIAn Screener?

It scores 3.8 out of 10, rank 1,995 of 2,130 (better than 6% of the companies analysed). Its strongest category is Growth (8.3) and its weakest, Valuation (1.0). Analysis of 08/10/2026.

What is CAVA Group's P/E ratio?

Its P/E is 94.7: the share price equals 94.7 times earnings per share over the last 12 months. The Consumer Cyclical median is 17.8. Based on the earnings analysts expect, the forward P/E is 69.9.

How much is CAVA Group worth on the stock market?

Its market capitalisation is 6.1B USD and its enterprise value, debt included, is 6.2B USD.

How much debt does CAVA Group have?

Its net debt (debt minus cash) is 85.1M USD. That is 0.53 times its EBITDA; the Consumer Cyclical median is 1.91.

Does CAVA Group pay a dividend?

It pays no dividend, or almost none.

How has CAVA Group stock performed over the last year?

It has fallen 16.2% over the last year, excluding dividends. Over the last 52 weeks it has traded between 43.41 and 98.79 USD. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

What do analysts think of CAVA Group?

24 analysts cover it; their average recommendation is “Buy” and their average target is 82.00 USD (+57.5% versus the price). It is an estimate, not market data.