⚠️ Not investment advice. This is a quantitative research tool; every decision is the user's own responsibility. Past performance does not guarantee future results.⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Fortescue FMG.AX

Australia Basic Materials
6.5/10
AI Analyst score
16.26 AUD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 17.52 (+7.7%)
🛒 Where to buy FMG.AXAustralia
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🟡 HOLD — Hold, awaiting signs of earnings stabilization and a favorable resolution of the compensation appeal.

Fortescue is one of the world's largest iron ore miners, with operations in Australia and a growing renewable energy business. Fortescue has solid financial health (ND/EBITDA 0.10) and an attractive valuation (P/E 12.32, EV/EBITDA 4.41), but earnings growth is very negative (-47.5%) and momentum is weak (2nd percentile in 52 weeks), reflecting a challenging period for the business.

Financial health
8.5
Quality / Moat
6.3
Valuation
8.1
Growth
3.0
Dividend
6.9
Momentum
1.2
Risk & Context
7.2

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E12.32
Fwd P/E14.51
EV/EBITDA4.41
P/B1.73
P/S2.07
PEG0.06
Market cap50.06 B AUD
Enterprise value35.99 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)18.9%
Gross margin40.14%
FCF conversion39%
Operating margin29.25%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE14.23%
ROA10.98%
Net margin16.92%
FCF3.17 B USD
FCF yield9.02%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt5.93 B USD
Net debt857.0 M USD
Cash5.07 B USD
EBITDA8.17 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA0.10
D/E29.30
Current ratio2.32
Quick ratio1.70
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth7.90%
Earnings growth-47.50%
EPS (TTM)1.32 AUD
EPS (Fwd)1.12 AUD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield6.64%
Payout89.5%
Beta0.76
Analyst consensusHold (17)
Target price17.52 AUD
52-week range16.14 AUD – 23.38 AUD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the decline in earnings (-47.5%) and legal uncertainty from the Western Australian government's appeal on compensation, which could lead to additional costs.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Fortescue is one of the world's largest iron ore miners, with operations in Australia and a growing renewable energy business. Fortescue has solid financial health (ND/EBITDA 0.10) and an attractive valuation (P/E 12.32, EV/EBITDA 4.41), but earnings growth is very negative (-47.5%) and momentum is weak (2nd percentile in 52 weeks), reflecting a challenging period for the business.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health8.5
Quality / Moat6.3
Valuation8.1
Growth3.0
Dividend6.9
Momentum1.2
Risk & Context7.2

OVERALL SCORE: 6.5/10

Context and risks

Fortescue is an iron ore miner based in Australia, a country with moderate governance risk. The Western Australian government's appeal on compensation adds specific regulatory uncertainty, though it is not an extreme geopolitical risk.

News considered in the analysis

  • Inside Fortescue’s billion-dollar bet to decarbonize mining—and help rebuild Ukraine — La apuesta por la descarbonización y la reconstrucción de Ucrania es un proyecto estratégico a largo plazo con potencial, pero aún no se refleja en los resultados financieros actuales.
  • WA Government and YNAC appeal Fortescue compensation ruling — La apelación sobre la compensación introduce incertidumbre legal y posibles costes adicionales, aunque el impacto financiero aún no está cuantificado.
  • Fortescue (ASX:FMG) Shares May Be Fairly Valued After Green Metal Progress — Artículo de análisis sin información nueva material; no aporta datos concretos que alteren la valoración.
  • Top 3 Australian Dividend Stocks With Yield Over 3% — Listículo genérico sin información específica sobre Fortescue.
  • BHP Group And 2 Australian Dividend Stocks To Own — Listículo genérico sin información específica sobre Fortescue.

Verdict: Hold, awaiting signs of earnings stabilization and a favorable resolution of the compensation appeal.

Main risk: The main risk is the decline in earnings (-47.5%) and legal uncertainty from the Western Australian government's appeal on compensation, which could lead to additional costs.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.