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Thales HO.PA

France Industrials
6.1/10
AI Analyst score
229.10 EUR
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 293.32 (+28.0%)
🛒 Where to buy HO.PAPartner brokers · France (Euronext) · sample 200.00 € orderFrance (Euronext)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the solid financial position and the defense spending tailwind are offset by negative earnings growth and a valuation that is not cheap.

Thales is a French technology group operating in the defense, aerospace, transport, and digital security sectors, selling equipment and systems to governments and businesses. Thales has solid financial health (ND/EBITDA of 0.17) and good quality (ROE 19.35%, ROIC 17.30%), but its earnings growth is negative (-27%) and its valuation is demanding (P/E 31.6). The context of increased European defense spending is a tailwind, but the earnings decline and negative momentum (-8.08%) weigh on the overall score.

Financial health
6.5
Quality / Moat
6.9
Valuation
5.4
Growth
3.8
Dividend
6.4
Momentum
3.7
Risk & Context
8.0

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E31.60
Fwd P/E18.49
EV/EBITDA15.54
P/B5.88
P/S2.06
PEG1.63
Market cap47.12 B EUR
Enterprise value47.66 B EUR
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)17.3%
Gross margin26.86%
FCF conversion139%
Operating margin10.30%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE19.35%
ROA3.76%
Net margin6.55%
FCF4.25 B EUR
FCF yield9.03%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt5.58 B EUR
Net debt519.2 M EUR
Cash5.06 B EUR
EBITDA3.07 B EUR
Net debt / EBITDA0.17
D/E69.54
Current ratio0.83
Quick ratio0.57
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth6.70%
Earnings growth-27.00%
EPS (TTM)7.25 EUR
EPS (Fwd)12.39 EUR
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield1.70%
Payout53.7%
Beta0.12
Analyst consensusBuy (19)
Target price293.32 EUR
52-week range212.60 EUR – 279.30 EUR
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is dependence on European government defense budgets, which can be volatile and subject to political changes, directly impacting Thales' revenue and growth.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Thales is a French technology group operating in the defense, aerospace, transport, and digital security sectors, selling equipment and systems to governments and businesses. Thales has solid financial health (ND/EBITDA of 0.17) and good quality (ROE 19.35%, ROIC 17.30%), but its earnings growth is negative (-27%) and its valuation is demanding (P/E 31.6). The context of increased European defense spending is a tailwind, but the earnings decline and negative momentum (-8.08%) weigh on the overall score.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health6.5
Quality / Moat6.9
Valuation5.4
Growth3.8
Dividend6.4
Momentum3.7
Risk & Context8.0

OVERALL SCORE: 6.1/10

Context and risks

Thales operates in defense and security, sectors with high exposure to European government spending policy. The increase in defense spending is a tailwind, but dependence on government budgets and the possibility of changes in political priorities introduce a business model risk not captured by financial metrics.

News considered in the analysis

  • Defense Stocks Gaining Attention As Russia Sanctions Reshape Energy Security — El aumento del gasto en defensa europeo por la crisis energética y de seguridad es un viento de cola estructural para Thales, aunque ya está parcialmente descontado en el sector.
  • Wall Street Just Gave Palantir Its Highest-Ever Price Target, Right When Europe Started Saying No — Noticia sobre un competidor (Palantir) y su valoración; no aporta información directa sobre los fundamentales de Thales.
  • 01 Quantum Inc (OONEF) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Quantum-Safe Email Opportunity and ... — Noticia sobre una empresa distinta (01 Quantum Inc); irrelevante para Thales.
  • Palantir Gains as Europe Builds a Sovereign AI Counterweight — El impulso europeo hacia una IA soberana y autónoma puede beneficiar indirectamente a Thales, que opera en defensa y seguridad digital, aunque el impacto directo es limitado.
  • Rheinmetall Stock And Europe Defense Shares Riding The EU Canada Reset — El repunte del sector defensa europeo, impulsado por acuerdos y reconfiguración de alianzas, es un viento de cola para Thales, aunque ya está parcialmente descontado.

Verdict: Hold; the solid financial position and the defense spending tailwind are offset by negative earnings growth and a valuation that is not cheap.

Main risk: The main risk is dependence on European government defense budgets, which can be volatile and subject to political changes, directly impacting Thales' revenue and growth.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.