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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Hochtief HOT.DE

Germany Industrials
6.5/10
AI Analyst score
393.40 EUR
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 504.71 (+28.3%)
🛒 Where to buy HOT.DEPartner brokers · Germany (Xetra) · sample 200.00 € orderGermany (Xetra)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; solid execution and the data center tailwind justify the premium, but the high P/E limits upside potential in the short term.

Hochtief is one of the world's largest construction and engineering companies, headquartered in Germany, executing large-scale infrastructure, building and concession projects globally, and is benefiting from the growing demand for data center construction. Hochtief shows exceptional growth (profits +48.7%) and outstanding quality (ROE 92.9%), with a healthy balance sheet (ND/EBITDA 0.58) that allows it to capitalize on the data center boom, although its valuation (P/E 33.3) already discounts part of these expectations.

Financial health
4.9
Quality / Moat
7.3
Valuation
4.7
Growth
8.5
Dividend
6.1
Momentum
9.4
Risk & Context
7.1

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E33.34
Fwd P/E21.33
EV/EBITDA18.50
P/B22.84
P/S0.74
PEG2.80
Market cap29.60 B EUR
Enterprise value30.94 B EUR
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)13.9%
Gross margin24.84%
FCF conversion133%
Operating margin3.89%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE92.90%
ROA3.04%
Net margin2.22%
FCF2.23 B EUR
FCF yield7.54%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt9.92 B EUR
Net debt966.2 M EUR
Cash8.96 B EUR
EBITDA1.67 B EUR
Net debt / EBITDA0.58
D/E715.52
Current ratio1.17
Quick ratio1.14
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth13.60%
Earnings growth48.70%
EPS (TTM)11.80 EUR
EPS (Fwd)18.45 EUR
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield1.68%
Payout55.9%
Beta0.78
Analyst consensusHold (9)
Target price504.71 EUR
52-week range217.40 EUR – 554.00 EUR
⚠️ Main risk: Concentration in the data center investment cycle: if hyperscalers moderate their AI capex, construction demand could cool sharply.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Hochtief is one of the world's largest construction and engineering companies, headquartered in Germany, executing large-scale infrastructure, building and concession projects globally, and is benefiting from the growing demand for data center construction. Hochtief shows exceptional growth (profits +48.7%) and outstanding quality (ROE 92.9%), with a healthy balance sheet (ND/EBITDA 0.58) that allows it to capitalize on the data center boom, although its valuation (P/E 33.3) already discounts part of these expectations.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health4.9
Quality / Moat7.3
Valuation4.7
Growth8.5
Dividend6.1
Momentum9.4
Risk & Context7.1

OVERALL SCORE: 6.5/10

Context and risks

The rise in 10-year rates makes financing long-term concession projects more expensive, a long-duration business. However, leverage is low (ND/EBITDA 0.58) and data center growth mitigates the impact.

News considered in the analysis

  • Hochtief to acquire German power transmission firm Autmatec — Adquisición estratégica que amplía la exposición al negocio de transmisión eléctrica, alineada con el ciclo de capex en redes.
  • Hochtief AG (HOCFF) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Orders and Raised Guidance ... — Resultados con récord de pedidos y mejora de guidance, señal de fortaleza operativa y visibilidad de ingresos futuros.
  • Buildots raises $130M as data center projects surge — Refleja el auge en la construcción de centros de datos, un mercado clave para Hochtief, aunque la noticia es sobre un tercero.
  • The unlikely corporate winners of AI — Posiciona a las constructoras de centros de datos como beneficiarias del ciclo de IA, validando la tesis de crecimiento de Hochtief.
  • European Indexes Rise as Banks, AI Stocks Recover — Ruido de mercado sin información específica sobre la empresa.

Verdict: Hold; solid execution and the data center tailwind justify the premium, but the high P/E limits upside potential in the short term.

Main risk: Concentration in the data center investment cycle: if hyperscalers moderate their AI capex, construction demand could cool sharply.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.