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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings NCLH

United StatesConsumer Cyclical · Travel ServicesUSD
4.4AI score
Rank 1,905 of 2,130
better than 10% of companies
15.05USD
▼ 33.0% in one year
NCLH MSCI World +22.1%
Average analyst target
20.08 USD (+33.4%)
25 analysts
52-wk low 13.63High 25.13
📈 Chart on TradingView ↗(affiliate link)Analysis of 08/10/2026

What does it do?

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings is one of the world's largest cruise operators, running the Norwegian Cruise Line, Oceania Cruises, and Regent Seven Seas Cruises brands, offering leisure travel to global destinations with a business model of selling cruise packages and onboard spending.

Key points

from its scores
  • ✓Strong growth7.3
  • ✕Little or no dividend1.5
  • ✕Poor share-price trend1.5
  • ✕Unfavourable risk and backdrop2.2

AI analysis

bottom line, main risk, context and news
Bottom line

Wait for the balance sheet to show real debt reduction and improved free cash flow generation before considering an entry, despite the attractive P/E.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings shows a mixed profile: attractive valuation (P/E 9.29) and exceptional ROE (36.73), but with a highly leveraged balance sheet (Net Debt/EBITDA 6.08, current ratio 0.20) and negative free cash flow conversion (-64.77) that weigh on its financial health. The 616% earnings growth is a rebound from a depressed base, not a sustainable trend, and momentum is very negative (-33.99).

⚠ Main risk

Extreme leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 6.08) with a current ratio of 0.20 exposes the company to significant refinancing risk if the interest rate environment remains elevated or if cruise demand weakens.

Context and risks

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings has no material exposure to current macro factors. Its cruise business does not depend on crude oil as a primary input (fuel is a relevant but not dominant cost compared to discretionary demand), has no significant tariff exposure, and its debt, although high, is mostly in USD without refinancing currency risk.

Is Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings stock cheap or expensive?

at the analysis date
Cheaper than its sector

On P/E and EV / EBITDA, it trades 35% below the Consumer Cyclical median on average.

MultipleCompanySectorDifference
P/E9.317.8−48%
EV / EBITDA8.711.2−22%
Price / book2.72.9−6%
Price / sales0.71.3−46%

Sector: median of the 228 Consumer Cyclical companies analysed. In bold, the multiples used for the comparison.

Valuation score: 6.7 out of 10 (median for Consumer Cyclical: 6.6).

Average analyst target: 20.08 USD, +33.4% versus the price.

A discount may reflect more risk or slower growth than its sector: Financial health 2.6 (sector 5.7), Growth 7.3 (sector 5.9).

Indicative fair value · USD
Graham20.25▲ +35% vs price
Price15.05at the analysis date

Classic formulas with standard assumptions (2.0% growth, 8-9% discount rate). Indicative only: they change a lot with the assumptions and are not a recommendation.

Work out its fair value yourself →How much would you have made investing every month? →

Comparing it with its sector does not say whether it is a good buy: this is not investment advice.

🛒 Where to buy NCLHCheapest · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € orderCheapest · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € orderAvailable in your country · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € order
By the cost of that order: commission and FX, taxes excluded (public fee schedules). Brokers marked «affiliate» may pay Meridian a commission at no cost to you. This is not investment advice. · Compare all 22 brokers by real cost →

Score by category

0 to 10 · hover overtap each one to see what it measures
Financial healthiPoor2.6Consumer Cyclical median: 5.7
Quality / MoatiWeak4.8Consumer Cyclical median: 5.7
ValuationiFair6.7Consumer Cyclical median: 6.6
GrowthiGood7.3Consumer Cyclical median: 5.9
DividendiPoor1.5Consumer Cyclical median: 4.5
MomentumiPoor1.5Consumer Cyclical median: 5.5
Risk & ContextiPoor2.2Consumer Cyclical median: 5.5
Consumer Cyclical median7 or more 5 to 7 under 5

Key metrics

at the analysis date · compared with the Consumer Cyclical median
P/Ei
9.3
Consumer Cyclical: 17.8below
EV / EBITDAi
8.7
Consumer Cyclical: 11.2below
ROEi
36.7%
Consumer Cyclical: 16.0%above
Operating margini
14.0%
Consumer Cyclical: 10.5%above
Net debt / EBITDAi
6.08
Consumer Cyclical: 1.91above
Revenue growthi
+4.9%
Consumer Cyclical: +5.3%below

Valuation

P/E
9.3
Forward P/E
9.1
EV / EBITDA
8.7
Price / book
2.7
Price / sales
0.7
PEG
1.30
Market cap
6.9B USD
Enterprise value
22.7B USD

Profitability

ROE
36.7%
ROA
4.3%
ROIC (approx.)
7.7%
Gross margin
42.5%
Operating margin
14.0%
Net margin
7.5%
Free cash flow
−1.7B USD
FCF yield
−24.3%
Cash conversion
−65%

Solvency

Total debt
16.0B USD
Net debt
15.8B USD
Cash
218.1M USD
EBITDA
2.6B USD
Net debt / EBITDA
6.08
Debt / equity
621.05
Current ratio
0.20
Quick ratio
0.08

Growth

Revenue growth
+4.9%
Earnings growth
+616.3%
EPS (TTM)
1.62 USD
EPS (forward)
1.65 USD

Dividend

Dividend yield
0.0%
Payout
0.0%

Risk and market

Beta
1.96
Analyst consensus
Buy (25)
Target price
20.08 USD
52-week range
13.63 – 25.13

Compare it with its sector

All 228 in Consumer Cyclical →
See the full ranking with filters →

Keep browsing the ranking

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Frequently asked questions about Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings

Is Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings stock cheap or expensive?

On P/E and EV / EBITDA, it trades 35% below the Consumer Cyclical median on average. Valuation score: 6.7 out of 10 (median for Consumer Cyclical: 6.6). Average analyst target: 20.08 USD, +33.4% versus the price. This is not investment advice.

What score does Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings get on MeridIAn Screener?

It scores 4.4 out of 10, rank 1,905 of 2,130 (better than 10% of the companies analysed). Its strongest category is Growth (7.3) and its weakest, Dividend (1.5). Analysis of 08/10/2026.

What is Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings's P/E ratio?

Its P/E is 9.3: the share price equals 9.3 times earnings per share over the last 12 months. The Consumer Cyclical median is 17.8. Based on the earnings analysts expect, the forward P/E is 9.1.

How much is Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings worth on the stock market?

Its market capitalisation is 6.9B USD and its enterprise value, debt included, is 22.7B USD.

How much debt does Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings have?

Its net debt (debt minus cash) is 15.8B USD. That is 6.08 times its EBITDA; the Consumer Cyclical median is 1.91.

Does Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings pay a dividend?

It pays no dividend, or almost none.

How has Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings stock performed over the last year?

It has fallen 33.0% over the last year, excluding dividends. Over the last 52 weeks it has traded between 13.63 and 25.13 USD. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

What do analysts think of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings?

25 analysts cover it; their average recommendation is “Buy” and their average target is 20.08 USD (+33.4% versus the price). It is an estimate, not market data.