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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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NIBE Industrier NIBE-B.ST

Sweden Industrials
5.2/10
AI Analyst score
45.48 SEK
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 46.08 (+1.3%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the recovery is real but valuation and leverage limit near-term upside.

NIBE Industrier is a Swedish industrial group that designs and manufactures heating, ventilation and air conditioning solutions, specializing in heat pumps, and is expanding into cooling solutions for data centers. NIBE shows sustained recovery with six consecutive quarters of improvement and 7.6% revenue growth, driven by heat pumps and data centers. However, its high debt (ND/EBITDA 3.17) and demanding valuation (P/E 34.72) make it vulnerable to the ECB's rate hike cycle.

Financial health
5.4
Quality / Moat
5.0
Valuation
3.7
Growth
6.5
Dividend
4.8
Momentum
6.6
Risk & Context
6.4

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E34.72
Fwd P/E26.91
EV/EBITDA19.43
P/B3.03
P/S2.20
PEG1.79
Market cap91.69 B SEK
Enterprise value110.05 B SEK
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)8.8%
Gross margin32.23%
FCF conversion58%
Operating margin11.36%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE8.53%
ROA3.88%
Net margin6.37%
FCF3.29 B SEK
FCF yield3.59%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt23.34 B SEK
Net debt17.98 B SEK
Cash5.36 B SEK
EBITDA5.66 B SEK
Net debt / EBITDA3.17
D/E72.20
Current ratio1.72
Quick ratio1.01
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth7.60%
Earnings growthN/D
EPS (TTM)1.31 SEK
EPS (Fwd)1.69 SEK
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.77%
Payout26.7%
Beta0.93
Analyst consensusBuy (13)
Target price46.08 SEK
52-week range31.21 SEK – 46.99 SEK
⚠️ Main risk: High leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 3.17) combined with the ECB's rate hike cycle could increase the cost of debt and compress margins if demand cools.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

NIBE Industrier is a Swedish industrial group that designs and manufactures heating, ventilation and air conditioning solutions, specializing in heat pumps, and is expanding into cooling solutions for data centers. NIBE shows sustained recovery with six consecutive quarters of improvement and 7.6% revenue growth, driven by heat pumps and data centers. However, its high debt (ND/EBITDA 3.17) and demanding valuation (P/E 34.72) make it vulnerable to the ECB's rate hike cycle.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health5.4
Quality / Moat5.0
Valuation3.7
Growth6.5
Dividend4.8
Momentum6.6
Risk & Context6.4

OVERALL SCORE: 5.2/10

Context and risks

The heat pump and climate solutions business has exposure to the construction cycle and renovation demand, which is sensitive to interest rates. The ECB's rate hikes make financing energy efficiency projects more expensive, a factor that could dampen demand in its key European markets.

News considered in the analysis

  • NIBE Industrier AB (NDRBF) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Sixth Consecutive Quarter of ... — Seis trimestres consecutivos de mejora, refuerza la narrativa de recuperación de márgenes.
  • Nibe Industrier Shares Rise as Heat Pumps, Data Centers Drive Sales Growth — El crecimiento impulsado por bombas de calor y centros de datos es un motor material de ingresos.
  • NIBE Industrier AB (NDRBF) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Organic Growth Amidst ... — Resultados del primer trimestre ya descontados en el precio.
  • Assessing NIBE Industrier (OM:NIBE B) Valuation After Its Standout OMX Stockholm 30 Share Price Move — Análisis de valoración sin información nueva.
  • NIBE Industrier AB (NDRBF) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Margin Recovery and ... — Resultados del cuarto trimestre de 2025, ya descontados.

Verdict: Hold; the recovery is real but valuation and leverage limit near-term upside.

Main risk: High leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 3.17) combined with the ECB's rate hike cycle could increase the cost of debt and compress margins if demand cools.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.