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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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NXP Semiconductors NXPI

Netherlands Technology
6.2/10
AI Analyst score
238.08 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 311.10 (+30.7%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold NXP; its quality is high, but exceptional growth may not be sustainable and the macro environment of high rates limits near-term re-rating potential.

NXP Semiconductors is a Dutch semiconductor manufacturer that designs and sells chips for automotive, industrial, infrastructure, and mobile applications, with a business model based on high-performance and energy-efficient solutions. NXP shows solid fundamentals with a 27.92% ROE, 30.41% operating margin, and 19.5% revenue growth, but the 72.6% earnings growth suggests a potential cyclical peak in semiconductors, and the context of rising rates and geopolitical tensions adds pressure to its valuation.

Financial health
7.4
Quality / Moat
7.8
Valuation
7.7
Growth
7.2
Dividend
6.2
Momentum
1.9
Risk & Context
2.3

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E20.33
Fwd P/E13.16
EV/EBITDA13.45
P/B5.27
P/S4.55
PEG0.47
Market cap60.04 B USD
Enterprise value68.15 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)17.9%
Gross margin56.10%
FCF conversion70%
Operating margin30.41%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE27.92%
ROA10.46%
Net margin22.56%
FCF3.56 B USD
FCF yield5.92%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt10.98 B USD
Net debt7.75 B USD
Cash3.22 B USD
EBITDA5.07 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA1.53
D/E93.33
Current ratio2.04
Quick ratio1.19
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth19.50%
Earnings growth72.60%
EPS (TTM)11.71 USD
EPS (Fwd)18.10 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield1.71%
Payout34.6%
Beta1.82
Analyst consensusBuy (29)
Target price311.10 USD
52-week range183.00 USD – 339.95 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the cyclical nature of the semiconductor business: the 72.6% earnings growth could reverse sharply if automotive and industrial demand cools, especially with rising interest rates making financing more expensive for its customers.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

NXP Semiconductors is a Dutch semiconductor manufacturer that designs and sells chips for automotive, industrial, infrastructure, and mobile applications, with a business model based on high-performance and energy-efficient solutions. NXP shows solid fundamentals with a 27.92% ROE, 30.41% operating margin, and 19.5% revenue growth, but the 72.6% earnings growth suggests a potential cyclical peak in semiconductors, and the context of rising rates and geopolitical tensions adds pressure to its valuation.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health7.4
Quality / Moat7.8
Valuation7.7
Growth7.2
Dividend6.2
Momentum1.9
Risk & Context2.3

OVERALL SCORE: 6.2/10

Context and risks

NXP, as a semiconductor manufacturer, is exposed to geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran that are pushing bond yields up and pressuring tech stocks. Additionally, renewed concerns about AI security add pressure to the sector, although NXP's diversified exposure to automotive and industrial markets partially mitigates this risk.

News considered in the analysis

  • VSMC inaugurates first 300mm semiconductor fab in Singapore — La expansión de capacidad de fundición en Singapur (joint venture de NXP y TSMC) refuerza la resiliencia de la cadena de suministro de NXP, aunque el impacto en beneficios es gradual.
  • TSMC Affiliate Plans Second Singapore Chip Plant in Asia Push — Una segunda planta en Singapur, vinculada a la alianza con NXP, ampliaría su capacidad de fabricación y reduciría riesgos geopolíticos, pero aún está en fase de planificación.
  • What Does NVIDIA Offer That Texas Instruments Does Not? — Comparativa genérica entre competidores sin información nueva sobre NXP.
  • NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) Stock May Be 7% Undervalued After Embedded Systems Growth News — Señala una posible infravaloración tras el crecimiento en sistemas embebidos, un segmento clave para NXP, aunque es una estimación de un medio no especializado.
  • Own ON Semiconductor For AI Power, Or Own Micron's Contracts? — Análisis comparativo de otras empresas del sector sin impacto directo en NXP.

Verdict: Hold NXP; its quality is high, but exceptional growth may not be sustainable and the macro environment of high rates limits near-term re-rating potential.

Main risk: The main risk is the cyclical nature of the semiconductor business: the 72.6% earnings growth could reverse sharply if automotive and industrial demand cools, especially with rising interest rates making financing more expensive for its customers.

Other Technology companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.