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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Redeia RED.MC

Spain Utilities
5.9/10
AI Analyst score
15.03 EUR
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 16.60 (+10.5%)
🛒 Where to buy RED.MCPartner brokers · Spain (BME) · sample 200.00 € orderSpain (BME)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold. The dividend is attractive and the business is defensive, but the combination of high debt, negative free cash flow and a regulatory framework under review limits upside potential.

Redeia is the operator of the Spanish electricity system, owner of the high-voltage transmission grid, with stable regulated income from access tolls. Redeia maintains a stable regulated business with a 30.63% operating margin and a 5.32% net dividend yield, but its high leverage (ND/EBITDA 4.62), weak free cash flow conversion (-13.17%) and negative earnings growth (-6.2%) weigh on its profile. Valuation (P/E 16.34) is not demanding, but the context of rising rates and regulatory pressure on grid remuneration warrants caution.

Financial health
6.9
Quality / Moat
4.2
Valuation
5.0
Growth
4.8
Dividend
6.8
Momentum
4.4
Risk & Context
6.9

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E16.34
Fwd P/E15.60
EV/EBITDA12.03
P/B1.42
P/S4.53
PEG4.40
Market cap8.11 B EUR
Enterprise value13.25 B EUR
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)4.7%
Gross margin98.31%
FCF conversion-13%
Operating margin30.63%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE9.86%
ROA2.49%
Net margin28.82%
FCF-145.1 M EUR
FCF yield-1.79%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt6.08 B EUR
Net debt5.09 B EUR
Cash984.8 M EUR
EBITDA1.10 B EUR
Net debt / EBITDA4.62
D/E104.71
Current ratio1.18
Quick ratio1.12
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth7.90%
Earnings growth-6.20%
EPS (TTM)0.92 EUR
EPS (Fwd)0.96 EUR
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield5.32%
Payout86.5%
Beta0.45
Analyst consensusBuy (22)
Target price16.60 EUR
52-week range14.15 EUR – 17.68 EUR
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the combination of high leverage (ND/EBITDA 4.62) with negative free cash flow conversion (-13.17%), which makes the sustainability of the dividend and investments dependent on external financing in an environment of rising rates and regulatory pressure on grid remuneration.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Redeia is the operator of the Spanish electricity system, owner of the high-voltage transmission grid, with stable regulated income from access tolls. Redeia maintains a stable regulated business with a 30.63% operating margin and a 5.32% net dividend yield, but its high leverage (ND/EBITDA 4.62), weak free cash flow conversion (-13.17%) and negative earnings growth (-6.2%) weigh on its profile. Valuation (P/E 16.34) is not demanding, but the context of rising rates and regulatory pressure on grid remuneration warrants caution.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health6.9
Quality / Moat4.2
Valuation5.0
Growth4.8
Dividend6.8
Momentum4.4
Risk & Context6.9

OVERALL SCORE: 5.9/10

Context and risks

Redeia operates under a Spanish regulatory framework with periodic reviews of tolls and remuneration. The interaction between increased grid spending and regulatory pressure to contain electricity prices creates a risk that future remuneration will be less generous than expected, affecting its operating margin (30.63%) and its ability to maintain the dividend (payout 86.53%).

News considered in the analysis

  • 3 European Utility Stocks To Watch As Grid Spending And Regulation Collide — El aumento del gasto en redes eléctricas en Europa es un viento de cola estructural para el negocio regulado de Redeia, aunque la interacción con la regulación añade incertidumbre.
  • Is Redeia Corporación (BME:RED) Overvalued for a Slow Growing Dividend? — Artículo de opinión de Simply Wall St. sin información nueva; no aporta datos concretos sobre la empresa.
  • Is Redeia Corporación (BME:RED) A Bargain As Valuation Signals Send Mixed Messages? — Listículo de valoración sin información nueva; no afecta a la tesis de inversión.
  • Redeia Corporacion SA (RDEIY) (Half Year 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Financial ... — Resultados semestrales con fortaleza financiera, pero el crecimiento de beneficios es negativo y la conversión a caja libre es muy débil, lo que matiza la lectura positiva.
  • Redeia Corporacion SA (RDEIF) Full Year 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Investments and ... — Inversiones récord en 2025 ya conocidas y descontadas por el mercado; el impacto positivo en ingresos futuros ya está en el precio.

Verdict: Hold. The dividend is attractive and the business is defensive, but the combination of high debt, negative free cash flow and a regulatory framework under review limits upside potential.

Main risk: The main risk is the combination of high leverage (ND/EBITDA 4.62) with negative free cash flow conversion (-13.17%), which makes the sustainability of the dividend and investments dependent on external financing in an environment of rising rates and regulatory pressure on grid remuneration.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.