Timken TKR
United StatesIndustrials · Tools & AccessoriesUSD
146.47 USD (+27.5%)
11 analysts
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Timken is a US industrial manufacturer of bearings, power transmission, and precision components for sectors such as automotive, aerospace, energy, and mining, with a business model based on advanced engineering and recognized brands.
Key points
from its scores- ✓Good share-price trend9.5
- ✓Very solid balance sheet7.1
- ✕Weak growth3.4
- !Risks to watch5.4
- !Somewhat demanding valuation5.6
AI analysis
bottom line, main risk, context and newsHold pending confirmation of an earnings recovery in the coming quarters; strong momentum and financial health provide support, but the current P/E offers no margin of safety.
Timken presents a mixed profile: solid financial health (net debt/EBITDA 1.95, liquidity 3.10) and an operating margin of 20.50%, but with very negative earnings growth (-63.40%) that weighs on the growth score. Valuation is demanding on P/E (31.14) although the forward (15.82) anticipates a recovery. Momentum is very strong (9.52).
The 63.40% drop in earnings could indicate structural deterioration in one of its end markets (automotive, mining, or energy) that may not recover as quickly as the forward P/E of 15.82 implies.
Context and risks
No recent relevant news and no material exposure to current macro factors. The industrial bearings and precision components business does not depend on short-term interest rates, crude oil, or conflict-affected shipping routes. Net debt/EBITDA of 1.95 is moderate and does not amplify the risk of a rising rate environment.
Is Timken stock cheap or expensive?
at the analysis dateOn P/E and EV / EBITDA, it trades in line with the Industrials median (within 15%).
| Multiple | Company | Sector | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 31.1 | 25.4 | +22% |
| EV / EBITDA | 10.7 | 14.5 | −26% |
| Price / book | 2.5 | 4.1 | −38% |
| Price / sales | 1.7 | 2.1 | −19% |
Sector: median of the 388 Industrials companies analysed. In bold, the multiples used for the comparison.
Valuation score: 5.6 out of 10 (median for Industrials: 5.0).
Average analyst target: 146.47 USD, +27.5% versus the price.
Classic formulas with standard assumptions (10.0% growth, 8-9% discount rate). Indicative only: they change a lot with the assumptions and are not a recommendation.
Work out its fair value yourself →How much would you have made investing every month? →
Comparing it with its sector does not say whether it is a good buy: this is not investment advice.
Score by category
0 to 10 · hover overtap each one to see what it measuresKey metrics
at the analysis date · compared with the Industrials medianValuation
- P/E
- 31.1
- Forward P/E
- 15.8
- EV / EBITDA
- 10.7
- Price / book
- 2.5
- Price / sales
- 1.7
- PEG
- 1.33
- Market cap
- 8.0B USD
- Enterprise value
- 9.9B USD
Profitability
- ROE
- 8.5%
- ROA
- 6.3%
- ROIC (approx.)
- 18.1%
- Gross margin
- 32.7%
- Operating margin
- 20.5%
- Net margin
- 5.4%
- Free cash flow
- 409.0M USD
- FCF yield
- 5.1%
- Cash conversion
- 44%
Solvency
- Total debt
- 2.2B USD
- Net debt
- 1.8B USD
- Cash
- 399.1M USD
- EBITDA
- 926.6M USD
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.95
- Debt / equity
- 65.52
- Current ratio
- 3.10
- Quick ratio
- 1.52
Growth
- Revenue growth
- +7.5%
- Earnings growth
- −63.4%
- EPS (TTM)
- 3.69 USD
- EPS (forward)
- 7.26 USD
Dividend
- Dividend yield
- 1.3%
- Payout
- 38.2%
Risk and market
- Beta
- 1.18
- Analyst consensus
- Buy (11)
- Target price
- 146.47 USD
- 52-week range
- 70.57 – 146.37
Recent news
All TKR news →Compare it with its sector
All 388 in Industrials →Frequently asked questions about Timken
Is Timken stock cheap or expensive?
On P/E and EV / EBITDA, it trades in line with the Industrials median (within 15%). Valuation score: 5.6 out of 10 (median for Industrials: 5.0). Average analyst target: 146.47 USD, +27.5% versus the price. This is not investment advice.
What score does Timken get on MeridIAn Screener?
It scores 6.0 out of 10, rank 1,026 of 2,130 (better than 51% of the companies analysed). Its strongest category is Momentum (9.5) and its weakest, Growth (3.4). Analysis of 08/10/2026.
What is Timken's P/E ratio?
Its P/E is 31.1: the share price equals 31.1 times earnings per share over the last 12 months. The Industrials median is 25.4. Based on the earnings analysts expect, the forward P/E is 15.8.
How much is Timken worth on the stock market?
Its market capitalisation is 8.0B USD and its enterprise value, debt included, is 9.9B USD.
How much debt does Timken have?
Its net debt (debt minus cash) is 1.8B USD. That is 1.95 times its EBITDA; the Industrials median is 1.58.
Does Timken pay a dividend?
Yes: its dividend yield is 1.25% and it pays out 38% of its earnings.
How has Timken stock performed over the last year?
It has risen 64.5% over the last year, excluding dividends. Over the last 52 weeks it has traded between 70.57 and 146.37 USD. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
What do analysts think of Timken?
11 analysts cover it; their average recommendation is “Buy” and their average target is 146.47 USD (+27.5% versus the price). It is an estimate, not market data.