⚠️ Not investment advice. This is a quantitative research tool; every decision is the user's own responsibility. Past performance does not guarantee future results.⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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TMX Group X.TO

Canada Financial Services
6.4/10
AI Analyst score
54.03 CAD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 65.43 (+21.1%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; business quality is high, but valuation offers no margin of safety and additional debt is a drag.

TMX Group Limited is a financial market infrastructure operator providing trading, clearing, and data services for equities, derivatives, and fixed income markets in Canada and increasingly in the US. TMX Group shows solid financial health (ROE 13.23%) and exceptional quality (operating margin 51.32%), but its valuation is demanding (P/E 24.9) and the recent debt issuance adds pressure on the balance sheet.

Financial health
4.7
Quality / Moat
9.5
Valuation
2.2
Growth
8.8
Dividend
6.3
Momentum
5.3
Risk & Context
8.9

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E24.90
Fwd P/E19.83
EV/EBITDA15.54
P/B3.02
P/S8.03
PEG0.57
Market cap14.88 B CAD
Enterprise value16.66 B CAD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)13.6%
Gross margin92.87%
FCF conversion54%
Operating margin51.32%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE13.23%
ROA1.13%
Net margin32.55%
FCF580.1 M CAD
FCF yield3.90%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt2.07 B CAD
Net debt1.55 B CAD
Cash517.3 M CAD
EBITDA1.07 B CAD
Net debt / EBITDA1.45
D/E40.24
Current ratio1.00
Quick ratio0.02
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth15.60%
Earnings growth96.20%
EPS (TTM)2.17 CAD
EPS (Fwd)2.72 CAD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield1.78%
Payout42.4%
Beta0.05
Analyst consensusStrong buy (7)
Target price65.43 CAD
52-week range44.10 CAD – 57.27 CAD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is dependence on trading volumes in Canadian capital markets, which are cyclical and sensitive to interest rates and market sentiment.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

TMX Group Limited is a financial market infrastructure operator providing trading, clearing, and data services for equities, derivatives, and fixed income markets in Canada and increasingly in the US. TMX Group shows solid financial health (ROE 13.23%) and exceptional quality (operating margin 51.32%), but its valuation is demanding (P/E 24.9) and the recent debt issuance adds pressure on the balance sheet.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health4.7
Quality / Moat9.5
Valuation2.2
Growth8.8
Dividend6.3
Momentum5.3
Risk & Context8.9

OVERALL SCORE: 6.4/10

Context and risks

TMX has revenue in USD and CAD; the strength of the US dollar (DXY index at 101.09) may affect revenue conversion. However, the main risk is exposure to Canadian capital markets, which are sensitive to ECB interest rates and Fed policy.

News considered in the analysis

  • TMX Group Targets C$2B Revenue With Global Expansion, Deals and Data Growth — La ambición de alcanzar 2.000 millones de CAD en ingresos mediante expansión global y crecimiento de datos es material y plausible, aunque parte de las expectativas ya están en el precio.
  • TMX Group (TSX:X) Announces $1.1 Billion In Senior Unsecured Debentures — La emisión de deuda por 1.100 millones de dólares aumenta el apalancamiento y el gasto por intereses, un efecto negativo moderado que aún no se ha reflejado en el precio.
  • Rob Arnott’s Firm Has an Out-of-This-World New Name — Ruido sin información relevante para TMX.
  • Is Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) Stock Already Priced For Perfection? — Artículo sobre un competidor, sin impacto directo en TMX.
  • TMX Group Q2 Earnings Call Highlights — Los aspectos más destacados de la llamada de resultados del segundo trimestre probablemente ya están reflejados en el precio, pero pueden contener matices sobre la orientación futura.

Verdict: Hold; business quality is high, but valuation offers no margin of safety and additional debt is a drag.

Main risk: The main risk is dependence on trading volumes in Canadian capital markets, which are cyclical and sensitive to interest rates and market sentiment.

Other Financial Services companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.