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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Xcel Energy XEL

United States Utilities
5.6/10
AI Analyst score
69.80 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 91.41 (+31.0%)
🛒 Where to buy XELPartner brokers · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € orderUS (NYSE/Nasdaq)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; high debt and sensitivity to interest rates limit attractiveness despite the stable dividend.

Xcel Energy is a regulated utility that generates, transmits, and distributes electricity and natural gas across eight states in the Midwest and West of the US, with a business model based on regulated rates and growing investment in renewable energy. Xcel Energy shows a pressured financial health due to its high leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 6.47) and negative free cash flow generation (FCF yield of -18.14), although its dividend is sustainable with a payout of 63.70% and earnings are growing 24%.

Financial health
5.0
Quality / Moat
3.5
Valuation
4.4
Growth
4.5
Dividend
7.3
Momentum
4.3
Risk & Context
8.2

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E19.12
Fwd P/E15.37
EV/EBITDA13.59
P/B1.81
P/S2.98
PEG1.75
Market cap43.60 B USD
Enterprise value83.23 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)5.0%
Gross margin46.83%
FCF conversion-129%
Operating margin22.70%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE9.92%
ROA2.37%
Net margin15.28%
FCF-7.91 B USD
FCF yield-18.14%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt41.65 B USD
Net debt39.63 B USD
Cash2.02 B USD
EBITDA6.12 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA6.47
D/E173.13
Current ratio0.70
Quick ratio0.48
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth-5.10%
Earnings growth24.00%
EPS (TTM)3.65 USD
EPS (Fwd)4.54 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield3.40%
Payout63.7%
Beta0.40
Analyst consensusStrong buy (17)
Target price91.41 USD
52-week range68.72 USD – 84.23 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the high leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 6.47) in a rising interest rate environment, which makes refinancing more expensive and pressures financial health.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Xcel Energy is a regulated utility that generates, transmits, and distributes electricity and natural gas across eight states in the Midwest and West of the US, with a business model based on regulated rates and growing investment in renewable energy. Xcel Energy shows a pressured financial health due to its high leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 6.47) and negative free cash flow generation (FCF yield of -18.14), although its dividend is sustainable with a payout of 63.70% and earnings are growing 24%.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health5.0
Quality / Moat3.5
Valuation4.4
Growth4.5
Dividend7.3
Momentum4.3
Risk & Context8.2

OVERALL SCORE: 5.6/10

Context and risks

The rise in 10-year Treasury yields (5.17%) makes refinancing more expensive for a utility with Net Debt/EBITDA of 6.47 and Debt/Equity of 173.13, pressuring its financial health. Additionally, the regulatory tariff context in the US adds review risk, although the 7th percentile position in its 52-week range already reflects part of the penalty.

News considered in the analysis

  • 4 Utility Stocks With Reliable Dividends and a Massive New Growth Engine — Artículo genérico que destaca el potencial de crecimiento de las utilities, sin datos específicos de Xcel; impacto moderado y parcialmente descontado.
  • The Texas Trader at War With His Electric Company Over Power Poles — Conflicto individual con un cliente sobre infraestructura; riesgo reputacional y regulatorio menor, con baja probabilidad de impacto material.
  • Xcel Energy (XEL) Dropped, So What Is Catching Investors' Attention? — Titular sin información nueva; solo describe la caída reciente de la acción.
  • Xcel Energy (XEL) Stock Looks Fully Priced As Dividend Growth Holds — Opinión de analista sobre valoración ajustada; impacto moderado y parcialmente descontado.
  • Xcel Energy Inc's Dividend Analysis — Análisis de dividendo sin información nueva relevante.

Verdict: Hold; high debt and sensitivity to interest rates limit attractiveness despite the stable dividend.

Main risk: The main risk is the high leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 6.47) in a rising interest rate environment, which makes refinancing more expensive and pressures financial health.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.