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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Tokio Marine Holdings 8766.T

Japan Financial Services
3.9/10
AI Analyst score
8,075.00 JPY
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 8,744.33 (+8.3%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; wait for confirmation of the potential Suncorp acquisition and for earnings growth to show signs of recovery before increasing the position.

Tokio Marine Holdings is a Japanese property and casualty insurer with a diversified business model including life, non-life insurance, and asset management, with growing international expansion. Tokio Marine shows a solid operating margin of 13.24%, but earnings growth has plunged 43.30% and valuation is demanding (P/E 28.95), suggesting the market is already pricing in a recovery that has not yet materialized.

Quality / Moat
3.3
Valuation
2.3
Growth
1.6
Dividend
5.0
Momentum
7.5
Risk & Context
4.7

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E28.95
Fwd P/E16.38
EV/EBITDA13.64
P/B1.87
P/S1.83
PEG1.76
Market cap15.34 T JPY
Enterprise value13.29 T JPY
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)12.3%
Gross margin0.00%
FCF conversionN/D
Operating margin13.24%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROEN/D
ROAN/D
Net margin0.00%
FCFN/D
FCF yieldN/D
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt772.57 B JPY
Net debt-2.02 T JPY
Cash2.79 T JPY
EBITDA974.39 B JPY
Net debt / EBITDA-2.07
D/E9.28
Current ratio11.58
Quick ratio5.48
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth0.10%
Earnings growth-43.30%
EPS (TTM)278.92 JPY
EPS (Fwd)493.02 JPY
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield1.62%
Payout78.1%
BetaN/D
Analyst consensusBuy (12)
Target price8,744.33 JPY
52-week range5,300.00 JPY – 8,468.00 JPY
⚠️ Main risk: The 43.30% decline in earnings growth, which could indicate underlying business issues or the impact of rising rates in Japan, and the execution risk of the potential Suncorp acquisition.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Tokio Marine Holdings is a Japanese property and casualty insurer with a diversified business model including life, non-life insurance, and asset management, with growing international expansion. Tokio Marine shows a solid operating margin of 13.24%, but earnings growth has plunged 43.30% and valuation is demanding (P/E 28.95), suggesting the market is already pricing in a recovery that has not yet materialized.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Quality / Moat3.3
Valuation2.3
Growth1.6
Dividend5.0
Momentum7.5
Risk & Context4.7

OVERALL SCORE: 3.9/10

Context and risks

Moderate regulatory risk in Japan due to insurance sector supervision and potential changes in solvency rules. The potential Suncorp acquisition adds execution and integration risk, though not confirmed.

News considered in the analysis

  • Tokio Marine (TSE:8766) Stock Looks Fully Valued After Its 5 Year Run — Artículo de análisis que sugiere que la acción está totalmente valorada tras una fuerte racha; refleja una opinión que puede influir en el sentimiento a corto plazo.
  • ALL or TKOMY: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now? — Comparativa genérica de valor entre dos aseguradoras sin información nueva específica sobre Tokio Marine.
  • How Berkshire’s New CEO Plans to Protect Iowa Power Costs From Hyperscaler Data Center Expansion — Noticia sobre Berkshire y el sector eléctrico en Iowa, sin relación directa con el negocio de Tokio Marine.
  • Tokio Marine nears Suncorp takeover bid – report — Informe sobre una posible oferta de adquisición de Suncorp; una operación transformadora que ampliaría su presencia en el mercado australiano, aunque aún no confirmada.
  • ALL vs. TKOMY: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option? — Comparativa de valor similar a la anterior, sin información sustancial nueva.

Verdict: Hold; wait for confirmation of the potential Suncorp acquisition and for earnings growth to show signs of recovery before increasing the position.

Main risk: The 43.30% decline in earnings growth, which could indicate underlying business issues or the impact of rising rates in Japan, and the execution risk of the potential Suncorp acquisition.

Other Financial Services companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.