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Arch Capital Group ACGL

Bermuda Financial Services
6.6/10
AI Analyst score
94.66 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 111.66 (+18.0%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold: valuation is attractive and the business is high quality, but the lack of growth and nil dividend limit the potential for near-term re-rating.

Arch Capital Group is a global insurer and reinsurer based in Bermuda, operating in the property, casualty, and mortgage segments, generating revenue from premiums and investments. Arch Capital presents solid financial health (ROE 19.94%) and an attractive valuation (P/E 7.41, P/B adjusted 0.70), but its growth is negative (revenue -10.5%), which weighs on its overall score. The mortgage segment is emerging as an earnings stabilizer, which could improve the quality of future results.

Financial health
7.5
Quality / Moat
8.1
Valuation
8.0
Growth
2.3
Dividend
1.4
Momentum
5.2
Risk & Context
8.9

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E7.41
Fwd P/E9.71
EV/EBITDA5.90
P/B1.39
P/S1.68
PEG1.05
Market cap32.30 B USD
Enterprise value32.82 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)18.5%
Gross margin38.76%
FCF conversion77%
Operating margin26.58%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE19.94%
ROA4.12%
Net margin24.40%
FCF4.30 B USD
FCF yield13.32%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt4.29 B USD
Net debt-178.0 M USD
Cash4.46 B USD
EBITDA5.57 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA-0.03
D/E17.84
Current ratio0.59
Quick ratio0.29
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth-10.50%
Earnings growth-7.10%
EPS (TTM)12.78 USD
EPS (Fwd)9.75 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.00%
Payout0.0%
Beta0.28
Analyst consensusBuy (19)
Target price111.66 USD
52-week range82.45 USD – 107.09 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the persistence of negative revenue and earnings growth, which could indicate a structural deterioration in the underwriting business if not reversed.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Arch Capital Group is a global insurer and reinsurer based in Bermuda, operating in the property, casualty, and mortgage segments, generating revenue from premiums and investments. Arch Capital presents solid financial health (ROE 19.94%) and an attractive valuation (P/E 7.41, P/B adjusted 0.70), but its growth is negative (revenue -10.5%), which weighs on its overall score. The mortgage segment is emerging as an earnings stabilizer, which could improve the quality of future results.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health7.5
Quality / Moat8.1
Valuation8.0
Growth2.3
Dividend1.4
Momentum5.2
Risk & Context8.9

OVERALL SCORE: 6.6/10

Context and risks

Domiciled in Bermuda with moderate governance/regulatory risk. The reinsurance business is exposed to global regulatory scrutiny, but no specific and material geopolitical or legal risk has been identified for this company.

News considered in the analysis

  • Arch Capital Group (ACGL) After The Pullback Is Its Underwriting Story Still A Bargain — Análisis positivo que destaca el atractivo de la valoración y la fortaleza del negocio de suscripción tras la caída del precio.
  • Arch Capital Lags Industry, Trades at a Discount: Time to Hold or Exit? — Artículo de Zacks que señala un rendimiento inferior al de la industria, aunque reconoce el descuento en la valoración.
  • Arch Capital's Mortgage Segment Emerges as an Earnings Stabilizer — Noticia material: el segmento hipotecario se consolida como un estabilizador de beneficios, reduciendo la volatilidad del resultado y mejorando la calidad del negocio.
  • Howard Hughes Stock Rises After Executives Buy Shares Following Ackman Post — Noticia sobre otra empresa (Howard Hughes), sin impacto directo en Arch Capital.
  • KNSL Stock Falls 18.3% in a Year: Here's What Investors Should Know — Noticia sobre un competidor (Kinsale Capital), sin información nueva sobre Arch Capital.

Verdict: Hold: valuation is attractive and the business is high quality, but the lack of growth and nil dividend limit the potential for near-term re-rating.

Main risk: The main risk is the persistence of negative revenue and earnings growth, which could indicate a structural deterioration in the underwriting business if not reversed.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.