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Ameren AEE

United States Utilities
5.9/10
AI Analyst score
99.74 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 120.00 (+20.3%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the stock is at the 15th percentile of its 52-week range and the dividend provides support, but negative cash generation and high leverage limit upside potential.

Ameren Corporation is a utility holding that, through its subsidiaries, generates, transmits, and distributes electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers in Missouri and Illinois, operating under a regulated business model. Ameren is a regulated utility with a leveraged balance sheet (Net Debt/EBITDA of 5.57) and negative free cash flow conversion (-45.68%), which limits its appeal despite a sustainable dividend (payout 51.41%) and earnings growth of 11.90%. Valuation (P/E 17.87) is in line with the sector, but negative FCF yield and declining revenue (-6.20%) warrant caution.

Financial health
6.0
Quality / Moat
4.0
Valuation
4.6
Growth
4.1
Dividend
7.4
Momentum
5.4
Risk & Context
8.0

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E17.87
Fwd P/E17.14
EV/EBITDA12.67
P/B2.02
P/S3.28
PEG2.50
Market cap27.61 B USD
Enterprise value49.54 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)6.0%
Gross margin52.41%
FCF conversion-46%
Operating margin25.24%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE11.94%
ROA3.06%
Net margin18.58%
FCF-1.79 B USD
FCF yield-6.47%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt21.81 B USD
Net debt21.80 B USD
Cash12.0 M USD
EBITDA3.91 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA5.57
D/E157.85
Current ratio0.53
Quick ratio0.26
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth-6.20%
Earnings growth11.90%
EPS (TTM)5.58 USD
EPS (Fwd)5.82 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield3.01%
Payout51.4%
Beta0.47
Analyst consensusBuy (15)
Target price120.00 USD
52-week range96.57 USD – 118.32 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the combination of high leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 5.57) with a rising rate environment, which makes debt refinancing more expensive and compresses the valuation of a long-duration utility.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Ameren Corporation is a utility holding that, through its subsidiaries, generates, transmits, and distributes electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers in Missouri and Illinois, operating under a regulated business model. Ameren is a regulated utility with a leveraged balance sheet (Net Debt/EBITDA of 5.57) and negative free cash flow conversion (-45.68%), which limits its appeal despite a sustainable dividend (payout 51.41%) and earnings growth of 11.90%. Valuation (P/E 17.87) is in line with the sector, but negative FCF yield and declining revenue (-6.20%) warrant caution.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health6.0
Quality / Moat4.0
Valuation4.6
Growth4.1
Dividend7.4
Momentum5.4
Risk & Context8.0

OVERALL SCORE: 5.9/10

Context and risks

Ameren operates under a regulated model in Missouri and Illinois, where tariff reviews can be adverse. The rise in 10-year yields (5.11%) pressures the multiple of a long-duration utility, but the engine already modulates this effect by P/E and leverage; the additional adjustment reflects the specific regulatory risk of its jurisdictions.

News considered in the analysis

  • Ameren (AEE) Stock May Be Fairly Valued Despite Infrastructure Jobs Study — Análisis de valoración sin información nueva; no afecta a las perspectivas de beneficios.
  • Ameren (AEE) Could Be a Great Choice — Opinión genérica de Zacks sin catalizador concreto.
  • Is Ameren Stock Underperforming the S&P 500? — Comparativa de rendimiento sin implicación para la valoración fundamental.
  • Top Stock Reports for Cisco, Lam Research & Thermo Fisher — Listado de informes sin relación con Ameren.
  • After Plunging 6% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why the Trend Might Reverse for Ameren (AEE) — Análisis técnico de corto plazo; sin información fundamental nueva.

Verdict: Hold; the stock is at the 15th percentile of its 52-week range and the dividend provides support, but negative cash generation and high leverage limit upside potential.

Main risk: The main risk is the combination of high leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 5.57) with a rising rate environment, which makes debt refinancing more expensive and compresses the valuation of a long-duration utility.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-24. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.