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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Terna TRN.MI

Italy Utilities
6.0/10
AI Analyst score
9.24 EUR
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 9.84 (+6.5%)
🛒 Where to buy TRN.MIPartner brokers · Italy · sample 200.00 € orderItaly
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🟡 HOLD — Hold. Terna is a regulated utility with solid fundamentals, but the valuation does not offer a sufficient margin of safety and the governance risk in Italy is a factor to watch.

Terna operates Italy's electricity transmission grid, with regulated revenues and state concessions. Terna shows solid financial health (7.05) with an exceptional operating margin of 45.15%, but its valuation (4.99) is weighed down by negative free cash flow conversion. The dividend (7.06) is attractive and revenue growth (12.30%) is positive, although earnings growth is flat.

Financial health
7.0
Quality / Moat
5.1
Valuation
4.7
Growth
6.1
Dividend
7.1
Momentum
6.9
Risk & Context
5.2

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E17.44
Fwd P/E16.43
EV/EBITDA11.01
P/B3.12
P/S4.40
PEG2.14
Market cap18.54 B EUR
Enterprise value31.07 B EUR
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)9.1%
Gross margin80.10%
FCF conversion-28%
Operating margin45.15%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE13.83%
ROA3.94%
Net margin26.44%
FCF-786.7 M EUR
FCF yield-4.24%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt14.91 B EUR
Net debt12.64 B EUR
Cash2.27 B EUR
EBITDA2.82 B EUR
Net debt / EBITDA4.48
D/E172.37
Current ratio0.96
Quick ratio0.92
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth12.30%
Earnings growth0.50%
EPS (TTM)0.53 EUR
EPS (Fwd)0.56 EUR
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield4.33%
Payout74.5%
Beta0.61
Analyst consensusHold (19)
Target price9.84 EUR
52-week range8.45 EUR – 10.41 EUR
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the high net debt (ND/EBITDA of 4.48) and weak free cash flow conversion, which could limit investment capacity and dividend growth if the regulatory environment becomes less favorable.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Terna operates Italy's electricity transmission grid, with regulated revenues and state concessions. Terna shows solid financial health (7.05) with an exceptional operating margin of 45.15%, but its valuation (4.99) is weighed down by negative free cash flow conversion. The dividend (7.06) is attractive and revenue growth (12.30%) is positive, although earnings growth is flat.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health7.0
Quality / Moat5.1
Valuation4.7
Growth6.1
Dividend7.1
Momentum6.9
Risk & Context5.2

OVERALL SCORE: 6.0/10

Context and risks

Elevated governance risk in Italy. Although Terna operates under a stable regulatory framework, the country's institutional quality and the risk of political interference in tariff setting justify a penalty on the base risk.

News considered in the analysis

  • 3 European Utility Stocks To Watch As Grid Spending And Regulation Collide — El titular destaca la oportunidad en utilities europeas por el gasto en redes, un tema central para Terna, pero es un análisis genérico sin datos específicos de la empresa.
  • Italy has performed better this decade than pre-2020. How long will this last? — Análisis macroeconómico sobre Italia sin información específica sobre Terna o su negocio regulado.

Verdict: Hold. Terna is a regulated utility with solid fundamentals, but the valuation does not offer a sufficient margin of safety and the governance risk in Italy is a factor to watch.

Main risk: The main risk is the high net debt (ND/EBITDA of 4.48) and weak free cash flow conversion, which could limit investment capacity and dividend growth if the regulatory environment becomes less favorable.

Other Utilities companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.