⚠️ Not investment advice. This is a quantitative research tool; every decision is the user's own responsibility. Past performance does not guarantee future results.⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Alamos Gold AGI.TO

Canada Basic Materials
6.2/10
AI Analyst score
48.83 CAD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 68.13 (+39.5%)
🛒 Where to buy AGI.TOCanada
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🟡 HOLD — Hold. The solid financial position and business profitability offset the macro pressure on gold, but the lack of clear catalysts and weak momentum suggest waiting for a better entry point.

Alamos Gold is a mid-cap gold miner with operations in Canada, Mexico, and Turkey, generating revenue primarily from the extraction and sale of gold. Alamos Gold shows solid financial health (score 9.09) with net cash and exceptional operating margins (66.5%), but its valuation (P/E 12.4) is under pressure from rising bond yields, which affect the gold price. Growth is strong, but low cash conversion (8.29%) and weak momentum (3.97) are points to watch.

Financial health
9.1
Quality / Moat
7.3
Valuation
6.1
Growth
7.5
Dividend
2.5
Momentum
4.0
Risk & Context
4.1

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E12.39
Fwd P/E11.34
EV/EBITDA8.99
P/B3.25
P/S6.48
PEG0.99
Market cap20.44 B CAD
Enterprise value13.98 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)31.8%
Gross margin70.75%
FCF conversion8%
Operating margin66.54%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE27.41%
ROA13.80%
Net margin52.64%
FCF128.9 M USD
FCF yield0.89%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt216.3 M USD
Net debt-460.4 M USD
Cash676.7 M USD
EBITDA1.55 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA-0.30
D/E4.50
Current ratio2.07
Quick ratio1.32
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth35.60%
Earnings growth68.80%
EPS (TTM)3.94 CAD
EPS (Fwd)4.31 CAD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.47%
Payout4.7%
Beta1.39
Analyst consensusStrong buy (11)
Target price68.13 CAD
52-week range38.03 CAD – 75.78 CAD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is exposure to the gold price, which is under pressure from rising real yields on US Treasury bonds and a strong dollar, which could compress margins and the company's valuation.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Alamos Gold is a mid-cap gold miner with operations in Canada, Mexico, and Turkey, generating revenue primarily from the extraction and sale of gold. Alamos Gold shows solid financial health (score 9.09) with net cash and exceptional operating margins (66.5%), but its valuation (P/E 12.4) is under pressure from rising bond yields, which affect the gold price. Growth is strong, but low cash conversion (8.29%) and weak momentum (3.97) are points to watch.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health9.1
Quality / Moat7.3
Valuation6.1
Growth7.5
Dividend2.5
Momentum4.0
Risk & Context4.1

OVERALL SCORE: 6.2/10

Context and risks

The rise in US Treasury bond yields to 5.17% is a headwind for gold, which generates no yield. As a gold producer, Alamos is sensitive to this factor, which can pressure the metal's price and its valuation.

News considered in the analysis

  • Will Young-Davidson Setbacks Weigh on Alamos Gold's Performance? — Menciona posibles contratiempos operativos en su mina clave Young-Davidson, lo que podría afectar la producción futura.
  • Gold Has Gone Sideways, But These 3 Stocks Haven’t — Listículo genérico sin información específica sobre la empresa.
  • 3 Gold Mining Stocks Investors Are Watching As Bond Yields Rise — El aumento de los rendimientos de los bonos presiona la valoración de las mineras de oro, un factor relevante para Alamos.
  • Social Buzz: Wallstreetbets Stocks Fall Pre-Bell Monday; Nebius Group, AMD to Open Lower — Ruido de mercado sin relevancia para los fundamentales de Alamos.
  • Social Buzz: Wallstreetbets Stocks Mostly Lower Premarket Wednesday; Meta Platforms to Advance, Intel to Decline — Ruido de mercado sin relevancia para los fundamentales de Alamos.

Verdict: Hold. The solid financial position and business profitability offset the macro pressure on gold, but the lack of clear catalysts and weak momentum suggest waiting for a better entry point.

Main risk: The main risk is exposure to the gold price, which is under pressure from rising real yields on US Treasury bonds and a strong dollar, which could compress margins and the company's valuation.

Other Basic Materials companies

Neighbours in the sector ranking, to compare without going back to the index.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.