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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Nutrien NTR

Canada Basic Materials
6.1/10
AI Analyst score
72.23 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 76.86 (+6.4%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the valuation is attractive but the risk of a deal with Belarus and weak earnings growth limit upside potential in the near term.

Nutrien is the world's largest fertilizer producer, with integrated operations in potash, nitrogen, and phosphate. Nutrien, the world's largest fertilizer producer, trades at a P/E of 14.62 and an EV/EBITDA of 8.20, reflecting a reasonable valuation, but earnings growth is weak (1.2%) and the risk of a deal with Belarus to import potash could pressure prices and margins.

Financial health
6.7
Quality / Moat
4.8
Valuation
6.9
Growth
4.9
Dividend
7.7
Momentum
6.7
Risk & Context
5.6

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E14.62
Fwd P/E14.41
EV/EBITDA8.20
P/B1.33
P/S1.26
PEG1.98
Market cap34.47 B USD
Enterprise value46.31 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)12.3%
Gross margin32.06%
FCF conversion28%
Operating margin17.46%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE9.44%
ROA4.31%
Net margin8.72%
FCF1.60 B USD
FCF yield4.65%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt12.73 B USD
Net debt11.81 B USD
Cash921.0 M USD
EBITDA5.65 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA2.09
D/E49.07
Current ratio1.39
Quick ratio0.83
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth4.00%
Earnings growth1.20%
EPS (TTM)4.94 USD
EPS (Fwd)5.01 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield3.05%
Payout44.3%
Beta1.08
Analyst consensusBuy (21)
Target price76.86 USD
52-week range53.03 USD – 85.36 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the potential import of Belarusian potash, which would increase global supply and could depress potash prices, a core business for Nutrien.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Nutrien is the world's largest fertilizer producer, with integrated operations in potash, nitrogen, and phosphate. Nutrien, the world's largest fertilizer producer, trades at a P/E of 14.62 and an EV/EBITDA of 8.20, reflecting a reasonable valuation, but earnings growth is weak (1.2%) and the risk of a deal with Belarus to import potash could pressure prices and margins.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health6.7
Quality / Moat4.8
Valuation6.9
Growth4.9
Dividend7.7
Momentum6.7
Risk & Context5.6

OVERALL SCORE: 6.1/10

Context and risks

Regulatory/geopolitical risk from the potential import of Belarusian potash, which would alter the supply balance in a key market for Nutrien. Additionally, exposure to Russia/Belarus in the fertilizer market adds uncertainty to prices.

News considered in the analysis

  • Trump Deal for Potash From Belarus Sends Fertilizer Stocks Down — Un acuerdo para importar potasa bielorrusa aumentaría la oferta global y presionaría los precios de la potasa, un negocio clave para Nutrien.
  • Fertilizer Deal With Belarus Is In the Works, Says Trump. CF Industries and Nutrien Stocks Fall. — Refuerza la noticia anterior: el mercado ya ha reaccionado a la baja, pero el acuerdo no está cerrado y su impacto en los precios aún no se ha materializado.
  • Nutrien's Shares Rise 26% in a Year: What's Behind the Upside? — Artículo de Zacks que resume la revalorización pasada; no aporta información nueva.
  • Nutrien (TSX:NTR) Heads To Laguna With Fair Value Still Up For Debate — Opinión de Simply Wall St. sobre el valor razonable; sin hechos concretos.
  • Nutrien (NTR) Dropped 15.4% in Q2: Why the Fertilizer Stock Could Be a Bargain — Análisis de Insider Monkey sobre la caída pasada; sin información nueva.

Verdict: Hold; the valuation is attractive but the risk of a deal with Belarus and weak earnings growth limit upside potential in the near term.

Main risk: The main risk is the potential import of Belarusian potash, which would increase global supply and could depress potash prices, a core business for Nutrien.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.