
11.06 USD (+30.7%)
9 analysts
What does it do?
AGNC Investment Corp. is a mortgage REIT that invests in agency residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS), financing itself with short-term debt to capture the interest rate margin.
Key points
from its scores- ✓Attractive dividend9.0
- ✓Attractive valuation7.7
- ✕Fragile balance sheet2.5
- ✕Unfavourable risk and backdrop3.2
- !Average business quality5.3
AI analysis
bottom line, main risk, context and newsThe high dividend yield is attractive, but the extreme leverage and sensitivity to rates make the downside risk significant.
AGNC offers an exceptional dividend yield of 17%, but its financial health is fragile (Debt/Equity of 717) and its valuation (P/B of 0.93) is under pressure from the rise in long-term rates, which compresses the margin on its MBS portfolio. Momentum is positive (15.57), but its position in the 1st percentile of the 52-week range suggests the market has already punished the value.
The main risk is the extreme leverage (Debt/Equity of 717) combined with rising interest rates, which compresses the margin on its MBS portfolio and can quickly erode its book value and dividend.
Context and risks
AGNC is a mortgage REIT with extreme leverage (Debt/Equity of 717) and a business model that depends on the margin between short and long-term rates. The sharp rise in the 10-year Treasury and the inverted yield curve compress that margin and erode the value of its MBS portfolio, a direct risk to its financial health and valuation. Furthermore, its position in the 1st percentile of the 52-week range reflects that the market is already discounting this punishment.
Is AGNC Investment stock cheap or expensive?
at the analysis dateOn P/E and Price / book, it trades 57% below the Real Estate median on average.
| Multiple | Company | Sector | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 4.3 | 21.6 | −80% |
| Price / book | 0.9 | 1.4 | −35% |
| Price / sales | 4.2 | 6.3 | −34% |
Sector: median of the 100 Real Estate companies analysed. In bold, the multiples used for the comparison.
Valuation score: 7.7 out of 10 (median for Real Estate: 4.9).
Average analyst target: 11.06 USD, +30.7% versus the price.
A discount may reflect more risk or slower growth than its sector: Financial health 2.5 (sector 5.5).
Classic formulas with standard assumptions (0.0% growth, 8-9% discount rate). Indicative only: they change a lot with the assumptions and are not a recommendation.
Work out its fair value yourself →How much would you have made investing every month? →
Comparing it with its sector does not say whether it is a good buy: this is not investment advice.
Score by category
0 to 10 · hover overtap each one to see what it measuresKey metrics
at the analysis date · compared with the Real Estate medianValuation
- P/E
- 4.3
- Forward P/E
- 5.6
- Price / book
- 0.9
- Price / sales
- 4.2
- PEG
- 3.48
- Market cap
- 10.0B USD
- Enterprise value
- 82.8B USD
Profitability
- ROE
- 19.8%
- ROA
- 2.0%
- ROIC (approx.)
- 2.3%
- Gross margin
- 100.0%
- Operating margin
- 95.6%
- Net margin
- 94.4%
Solvency
- Total debt
- 89.9B USD
- Net debt
- 70.8B USD
- Cash
- 19.2B USD
- Debt / equity
- 717.09
- Current ratio
- 0.19
- Quick ratio
- 0.18
Growth
- EPS (TTM)
- 1.96 USD
- EPS (forward)
- 1.50 USD
Dividend
- Dividend yield
- 17.0%
- Payout
- 73.5%
Risk and market
- Beta
- 1.34
- Analyst consensus
- Hold (9)
- Target price
- 11.06 USD
- 52-week range
- 8.42 – 12.19
Recent news
All AGNC news →Compare it with its sector
All 100 in Real Estate →Frequently asked questions about AGNC Investment
Is AGNC Investment stock cheap or expensive?
On P/E and Price / book, it trades 57% below the Real Estate median on average. Valuation score: 7.7 out of 10 (median for Real Estate: 4.9). Average analyst target: 11.06 USD, +30.7% versus the price. This is not investment advice.
What score does AGNC Investment get on MeridIAn Screener?
It scores 5.7 out of 10, rank 1,220 of 2,130 (better than 39% of the companies analysed). Its strongest category is Dividend (9.0) and its weakest, Financial health (2.5). Analysis of 08/10/2026.
What is AGNC Investment's P/E ratio?
Its P/E is 4.3: the share price equals 4.3 times earnings per share over the last 12 months. The Real Estate median is 21.6. Based on the earnings analysts expect, the forward P/E is 5.6.
How much is AGNC Investment worth on the stock market?
Its market capitalisation is 10.0B USD.
Does AGNC Investment pay a dividend?
Yes: its dividend yield is 17.02% and it pays out 73% of its earnings.
How has AGNC Investment stock performed over the last year?
It has fallen 2.4% over the last year, excluding dividends. Over the last 52 weeks it has traded between 8.42 and 12.19 USD. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
What do analysts think of AGNC Investment?
9 analysts cover it; their average recommendation is “Hold” and their average target is 11.06 USD (+30.7% versus the price). It is an estimate, not market data.
