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Amcor AMCR

Switzerland Consumer Cyclical
6.3/10
AI Analyst score
42.51 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 50.18 (+18.0%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold. The valuation is reasonable and the $650 million synergy plan is a catalyst, but high debt and an uncovered payout limit upside potential.

Amcor manufactures flexible and rigid packaging for consumer goods, focusing on sustainability and efficiency. Amcor presents an attractive valuation (forward P/E 9.76, FCF yield 7.65) and strong revenue growth (25.90%), but its high leverage (ND/EBITDA 3.97) and a payout of 108.72% are weaknesses that the market partially discounts.

Financial health
4.2
Quality / Moat
4.2
Valuation
7.7
Growth
8.8
Dividend
4.8
Momentum
6.8
Risk & Context
7.6

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E17.86
Fwd P/E9.76
EV/EBITDA9.52
P/B1.67
P/S0.84
PEG0.99
Market cap19.65 B USD
Enterprise value33.67 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)8.5%
Gross margin19.95%
FCF conversion43%
Operating margin9.69%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE9.40%
ROA3.57%
Net margin4.71%
FCF1.50 B USD
FCF yield7.65%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt15.14 B USD
Net debt14.02 B USD
Cash1.12 B USD
EBITDA3.54 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA3.97
D/E128.29
Current ratio1.25
Quick ratio0.64
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth25.90%
Earnings growthN/D
EPS (TTM)2.38 USD
EPS (Fwd)4.36 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield6.12%
Payout108.7%
Beta0.59
Analyst consensusBuy (12)
Target price50.18 USD
52-week range36.25 USD – 50.94 USD
⚠️ Main risk: High leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 3.97) and a payout of 108.72% are the main risks, as they limit financial flexibility and could pressure the dividend if earnings growth does not materialize.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Amcor manufactures flexible and rigid packaging for consumer goods, focusing on sustainability and efficiency. Amcor presents an attractive valuation (forward P/E 9.76, FCF yield 7.65) and strong revenue growth (25.90%), but its high leverage (ND/EBITDA 3.97) and a payout of 108.72% are weaknesses that the market partially discounts.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health4.2
Quality / Moat4.2
Valuation7.7
Growth8.8
Dividend4.8
Momentum6.8
Risk & Context7.6

OVERALL SCORE: 6.3/10

Context and risks

Amcor has a high Net Debt/EBITDA of 3.97. Although the Fed is leaning towards cutting rates, the ECB is raising them and Amcor, domiciled in Switzerland, has global exposure. The refinancing risk in a still-high rate environment is a factor to consider, but it is not dominant.

News considered in the analysis

  • Amcor and Dow form low-carbon packaging partnership — Refuerza la posición de Amcor en sostenibilidad, un diferenciador clave en envases, pero el impacto financiero directo es limitado a corto plazo.
  • Amcor's 2026 Outlook: Synergy Realization Targets $650 Million in Total Cost Savings — El objetivo de sinergias de 650 millones de dólares es material para el margen y el beneficio, pero su consecución no está garantizada y parte del optimismo ya está en el precio.
  • Pratt, Amcor, JBM, O-I invest in manufacturing expansions — La expansión de capacidad indica confianza en la demanda, pero también implica mayor capex y riesgo de sobrecapacidad en el sector.
  • Amcor (AMCR) On Berry Synergy Hopes Looks Undervalued But Is The Upside Left — Análisis de valoración que refleja el optimismo del mercado por las sinergias de Berry, pero no aporta información nueva y concreta.
  • Amcor Stock: Is AMCR Outperforming the Consumer Cyclical Sector? — Artículo comparativo genérico sin información sustancial para la valoración.

Verdict: Hold. The valuation is reasonable and the $650 million synergy plan is a catalyst, but high debt and an uncovered payout limit upside potential.

Main risk: High leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 3.97) and a payout of 108.72% are the main risks, as they limit financial flexibility and could pressure the dividend if earnings growth does not materialize.

Other Consumer Cyclical companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.