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Moncler MONC.MI

Italy Consumer Cyclical
6.3/10
AI Analyst score
44.08 EUR
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 59.18 (+34.3%)
🛒 Where to buy MONC.MIPartner brokers · Italy · sample 200.00 € orderItaly
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the strength of the balance sheet and margin offset moderate growth, but weaker European tourism and a valuation without discount limit upside potential in the short term.

Moncler is an Italian luxury fashion house, known for its high-end down jackets, operating a global network of own stores and franchises, with a business model focused on brand exclusivity and direct-to-consumer sales. Moncler maintains a very solid balance sheet (Net Debt/EBITDA of 0.10) and an exceptional gross margin of 78.20%, but growth is moderating (revenue +5.20%) weighed down by weaker European tourism and ECB pressure on luxury consumption.

Financial health
7.9
Quality / Moat
7.4
Valuation
6.5
Growth
5.4
Dividend
7.2
Momentum
4.3
Risk & Context
4.2

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E18.76
Fwd P/E17.24
EV/EBITDA13.12
P/B3.29
P/S3.75
PEG2.17
Market cap11.99 B EUR
Enterprise value11.94 B EUR
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)12.4%
Gross margin78.20%
FCF conversion76%
Operating margin19.02%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE18.12%
ROA10.67%
Net margin19.96%
FCF687.9 M EUR
FCF yield5.74%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt1.24 B EUR
Net debt93.4 M EUR
Cash1.14 B EUR
EBITDA910.2 M EUR
Net debt / EBITDA0.10
D/E33.88
Current ratio2.30
Quick ratio1.56
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth5.20%
Earnings growth7.10%
EPS (TTM)2.35 EUR
EPS (Fwd)2.56 EUR
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield3.18%
Payout59.6%
Beta1.07
Analyst consensusBuy (25)
Target price59.18 EUR
52-week range42.77 EUR – 59.40 EUR
⚠️ Main risk: Dependence on European tourism and discretionary luxury spending in an environment of rising ECB rates, which could dampen demand in its key market.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Moncler is an Italian luxury fashion house, known for its high-end down jackets, operating a global network of own stores and franchises, with a business model focused on brand exclusivity and direct-to-consumer sales. Moncler maintains a very solid balance sheet (Net Debt/EBITDA of 0.10) and an exceptional gross margin of 78.20%, but growth is moderating (revenue +5.20%) weighed down by weaker European tourism and ECB pressure on luxury consumption.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health7.9
Quality / Moat7.4
Valuation6.5
Growth5.4
Dividend7.2
Momentum4.3
Risk & Context4.2

OVERALL SCORE: 6.3/10

Context and risks

Elevated governance risk in Italy and exposure to weaker European tourism, which is already affecting Moncler's sales. The ECB rate hike makes discretionary luxury consumption more expensive, but its impact is moderate given the company's low leverage.

News considered in the analysis

  • How Moncler’s Billionaire Founder Finally Made Peace With Milan — Perfil de carácter humano sobre el fundador; sin información nueva sobre beneficios o valoración.
  • Moncler Shares Fall After Weaker Tourism Hurts European Sales — Debilidad material en ventas europeas por menor turismo, afecta directamente a ingresos y márgenes; el impacto en el precio ya es visible pero el efecto en resultados futuros no está totalmente descontado.
  • Moncler SpA (MONRF) H1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Revenue Growth and Strategic Expansion — Resultados semestrales con crecimiento de ingresos y expansión estratégica; ya reflejado en el precio y en las notas cuantitativas.
  • Romain Spitzer Named CEO of Bottega Veneta — Nombramiento en un competidor (Bottega Veneta/Kering); sin efecto directo sobre Moncler.
  • Richemont’s Shares Surge After Sales Beat — Sólidos resultados de Richemont confirman resiliencia del consumo de lujo de alta gama, señal positiva para el sector y para Moncler.

Verdict: Hold; the strength of the balance sheet and margin offset moderate growth, but weaker European tourism and a valuation without discount limit upside potential in the short term.

Main risk: Dependence on European tourism and discretionary luxury spending in an environment of rising ECB rates, which could dampen demand in its key market.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.