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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Alimentation Couche-Tard ATD.TO

Canada Consumer Cyclical
6.4/10
AI Analyst score
78.50 CAD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 102.49 (+30.6%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the potential acquisition of Zabka could be a catalyst, but the low operating margin and store pressure warrant caution.

Alimentation Couche-Tard is a Canadian convenience retailer operating the Circle K and Couche-Tard brands, with a global network of stores selling fuel, snacks, and beverages. Alimentation Couche-Tard shows revenue growth of 25.10% and an attractive valuation (P/E 16.19), although its operating margin of 5.61% is low and the closure of 80 stores suggests pressure on the network.

Financial health
5.3
Quality / Moat
5.5
Valuation
7.1
Growth
7.4
Dividend
4.6
Momentum
6.6
Risk & Context
7.5

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E16.19
Fwd P/E15.38
EV/EBITDA9.83
P/B3.15
P/S0.63
PEG1.52
Market cap72.06 B CAD
Enterprise value63.16 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)14.3%
Gross margin18.24%
FCF conversion43%
Operating margin5.61%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE19.61%
ROA7.14%
Net margin3.94%
FCF2.79 B USD
FCF yield5.48%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt15.45 B USD
Net debt12.25 B USD
Cash3.20 B USD
EBITDA6.43 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA1.91
D/E91.92
Current ratio1.26
Quick ratio0.85
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth25.10%
Earnings growth9.80%
EPS (TTM)4.85 CAD
EPS (Fwd)5.06 CAD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield1.10%
Payout17.5%
Beta0.71
Analyst consensusBuy (17)
Target price102.49 CAD
52-week range68.30 CAD – 95.15 CAD
⚠️ Main risk: The operating margin of 5.61% is low for the sector, and the integration of acquisitions like the potential Zabka could dilute profitability if not executed well.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Alimentation Couche-Tard is a Canadian convenience retailer operating the Circle K and Couche-Tard brands, with a global network of stores selling fuel, snacks, and beverages. Alimentation Couche-Tard shows revenue growth of 25.10% and an attractive valuation (P/E 16.19), although its operating margin of 5.61% is low and the closure of 80 stores suggests pressure on the network.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health5.3
Quality / Moat5.5
Valuation7.1
Growth7.4
Dividend4.6
Momentum6.6
Risk & Context7.5

OVERALL SCORE: 6.4/10

Context and risks

Moderate regulatory risk in Canada and exposure to geopolitical tensions on maritime routes that could affect the fuel supply chain, although it is not a dominant factor.

News considered in the analysis

  • Alimentation Couche Tard (TSX:ATD) And The Case For Buying Its Pullback As Zabka Looms — La posible adquisición de Zabka podría ser transformadora, pero aún no está confirmada y el mercado ya ha descontado parte de la expectativa.
  • Alimentation Couche Tard (TSX:ATD) Stock Looks Below Fair Value On Its 70% Run — Análisis de valoración sin información nueva; el rally ya está en el precio.
  • Convenience store giant closes 80 stores — El cierre de 80 tiendas es una señal de optimización de la red, pero refleja presión en el tráfico o rentabilidad de ciertos puntos de venta.
  • Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc's Dividend Analysis — Análisis de dividendo sin información nueva.
  • 3 Big Numbers: The biggest winners in Couche-Tard’s Q1 — Resultados del Q1 con ganadores concretos; refuerza la narrativa de crecimiento, aunque ya ha sido parcialmente descontado.

Verdict: Hold; the potential acquisition of Zabka could be a catalyst, but the low operating margin and store pressure warrant caution.

Main risk: The operating margin of 5.61% is low for the sector, and the integration of acquisitions like the potential Zabka could dilute profitability if not executed well.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.