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Ulta Beauty ULTA

United States Consumer Cyclical
6.3/10
AI Analyst score
545.20 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 630.64 (+15.7%)
🛒 Where to buy ULTAPartner brokers · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € orderUS (NYSE/Nasdaq)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; business quality is high, but valuation does not offer an attractive discount and competition in the sector is a risk to watch.

Ulta Beauty is the largest specialized beauty retailer in the US, combining physical stores and online sales with a wide range of cosmetics, fragrances, and personal care products from prestige and exclusive brands. Ulta Beauty shows solid fundamentals with an ROE of 46.12% and an operating margin of 12.51%, although its valuation (P/E 19.84) and earnings growth (13.30%) are in line with the sector, without large margins of safety.

Financial health
6.5
Quality / Moat
8.2
Valuation
6.0
Growth
6.6
Dividend
1.5
Momentum
3.7
Risk & Context
6.6

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E19.84
Fwd P/E16.99
EV/EBITDA13.25
P/B8.59
P/S1.80
PEG1.96
Market cap23.31 B USD
Enterprise value25.62 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)30.9%
Gross margin43.10%
FCF conversion47%
Operating margin12.51%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE46.12%
ROA14.84%
Net margin9.34%
FCF914.1 M USD
FCF yield3.92%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt2.52 B USD
Net debt2.31 B USD
Cash213.5 M USD
EBITDA1.93 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA1.19
D/E95.47
Current ratio1.34
Quick ratio0.20
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth8.90%
Earnings growth13.30%
EPS (TTM)27.48 USD
EPS (Fwd)32.08 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.00%
Payout0.0%
Beta0.85
Analyst consensusBuy (25)
Target price630.64 USD
52-week range443.60 USD – 714.97 USD
⚠️ Main risk: Increasing competition in the beauty channel, especially from large retailers like Walmart, could erode Ulta's market share and margins.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Ulta Beauty is the largest specialized beauty retailer in the US, combining physical stores and online sales with a wide range of cosmetics, fragrances, and personal care products from prestige and exclusive brands. Ulta Beauty shows solid fundamentals with an ROE of 46.12% and an operating margin of 12.51%, although its valuation (P/E 19.84) and earnings growth (13.30%) are in line with the sector, without large margins of safety.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health6.5
Quality / Moat8.2
Valuation6.0
Growth6.6
Dividend1.5
Momentum3.7
Risk & Context6.6

OVERALL SCORE: 6.3/10

Context and risks

The rise in 10-year Treasury yields (5.17%) and a strong dollar pressure discretionary consumption, although Ulta has a solid balance sheet (ND/EBITDA 1.19) that mitigates the impact. Growing competition in the beauty sector is a business model risk.

News considered in the analysis

  • Is the Beauty Aisle Becoming Retail’s Next Big Battleground for Walmart (WMT) and Ulta (ULTA)? — La creciente competencia de Walmart en el pasillo de belleza es una amenaza real para la cuota de mercado de Ulta, aunque aún no se ha materializado plenamente.
  • WOOF vs. ULTA: Which Stock Should Value Investors Buy Now? — Comparativa genérica de valoración entre dos acciones sin información nueva sobre Ulta.
  • Ulta Beauty CEO Kecia Steelman Sells 2,000 Shares for $1.1 Million — Venta de acciones por parte de la CEO; el importe es modesto y la noticia ya está en el precio, pero puede indicar falta de confianza interna.
  • 3 Reasons We’re Fans of Ulta (ULTA) — Artículo positivo con argumentos cualitativos sobre la fortaleza de la marca y su modelo, sin datos concretos nuevos.
  • Ulta Beauty's move to win back shoppers takes a new turn — Iniciativa estratégica para recuperar clientes; el éxito aún no está garantizado, pero es una señal positiva de gestión activa.

Verdict: Hold; business quality is high, but valuation does not offer an attractive discount and competition in the sector is a risk to watch.

Main risk: Increasing competition in the beauty channel, especially from large retailers like Walmart, could erode Ulta's market share and margins.

Other Consumer Cyclical companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.