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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Atmos Energy ATO

United States Utilities
6.3/10
AI Analyst score
157.21 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 185.55 (+18.0%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; regulated stability and growing dividend offer support, but valuation and weak momentum limit upside potential in the short term.

Atmos Energy is a regulated natural gas utility that distributes gas to approximately 3.3 million customers across more than 1,400 communities in eight southern US states, operating under a regulated tariff model that provides stable and predictable cash flows. Atmos Energy presents solid financial health (7.73) backed by an operating margin of 37.22%, although its net debt/EBITDA of 3.74 and negative free cash flow conversion (-84.63%) are weak points. Earnings growth of 23.30% and a dividend with a payout of 46.13% offer appeal, but valuation (P/E 18.72) and momentum (3.81) reflect the pressure of the high-rate environment.

Financial health
8.0
Quality / Moat
4.3
Valuation
4.6
Growth
6.5
Dividend
7.1
Momentum
3.8
Risk & Context
7.6

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E18.72
Fwd P/E17.43
EV/EBITDA13.86
P/B1.74
P/S5.40
PEG1.90
Market cap26.57 B USD
Enterprise value36.37 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)7.2%
Gross margin62.21%
FCF conversion-85%
Operating margin37.22%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE9.79%
ROA3.89%
Net margin28.50%
FCF-2.22 B USD
FCF yield-8.36%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt10.32 B USD
Net debt9.80 B USD
Cash521.0 M USD
EBITDA2.62 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA3.74
D/E67.66
Current ratio0.81
Quick ratio0.54
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth4.80%
Earnings growth23.30%
EPS (TTM)8.40 USD
EPS (Fwd)9.02 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield2.54%
Payout46.1%
Beta0.59
Analyst consensusHold (11)
Target price185.55 USD
52-week range155.00 USD – 192.51 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the rise in 10-year Treasury yields, which pressures utility valuations and makes refinancing a net debt/EBITDA of 3.74 more expensive, although the regulated rate model partially mitigates this effect.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Atmos Energy is a regulated natural gas utility that distributes gas to approximately 3.3 million customers across more than 1,400 communities in eight southern US states, operating under a regulated tariff model that provides stable and predictable cash flows. Atmos Energy presents solid financial health (7.73) backed by an operating margin of 37.22%, although its net debt/EBITDA of 3.74 and negative free cash flow conversion (-84.63%) are weak points. Earnings growth of 23.30% and a dividend with a payout of 46.13% offer appeal, but valuation (P/E 18.72) and momentum (3.81) reflect the pressure of the high-rate environment.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health8.0
Quality / Moat4.3
Valuation4.6
Growth6.5
Dividend7.1
Momentum3.8
Risk & Context7.6

OVERALL SCORE: 6.3/10

Context and risks

Moderate regulatory risk in the US and position at the 6th percentile of the 52-week range, reflecting already-discounted market pressure. The regulated rate model mitigates interest rate risk, but dependence on rate case approvals remains a key factor.

News considered in the analysis

  • Is Atmos Energy Stock Underperforming the Dow? — Artículo comparativo sin información nueva sobre los fundamentales de la empresa.
  • 3 U.S. Utility Stocks Built For Higher Rates And Inflation Pass Through — Destaca la capacidad de Atmos para trasladar costes a tarifas, un atenuante relevante en un entorno de tipos al alza.
  • This Quiet Utility Has a Multi-Decade Dividend Growth Streak -- Here's Why Almost Nobody Talks About It — Refuerza la calidad del negocio y su historial de dividendos, un factor positivo para la confianza del inversor.
  • Can Infrastructure Investments Drive Atmos Energy's Long-Term Growth? — El plan de inversión en infraestructuras es un motor de crecimiento conocido, pero su éxito depende de la aprobación regulatoria.
  • Here Are Friday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Atmos Energy, Celanese, Check Point Software, Chewy, Dell Technologies, Fortinet, Global Payments, HP, Shopify, and More — Listado genérico de llamadas de analistas sin detalle específico para Atmos.

Verdict: Hold; regulated stability and growing dividend offer support, but valuation and weak momentum limit upside potential in the short term.

Main risk: The main risk is the rise in 10-year Treasury yields, which pressures utility valuations and makes refinancing a net debt/EBITDA of 3.74 more expensive, although the regulated rate model partially mitigates this effect.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.