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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Centrica CNA.L

United Kingdom Utilities
7.4/10
AI Analyst score
1.47 GBP
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 2.06 (+39.7%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; valuation and balance sheet are solid, but wait for the winter supply risk to dissipate before adding to the position.

Centrica is an integrated UK energy company, owner of British Gas, operating in gas exploration and production, electricity generation, and retail energy supply to homes and businesses. Centrica shows solid financial health with net cash (ND/EBITDA of -0.15) and an attractive valuation (P/E 9.82, FCF yield 31.47%), but growth is flat (0.60%) and the dividend is low. The main risk is operational: a potential UK gas shortage could pressure British Gas margins.

Financial health
8.8
Quality / Moat
7.4
Valuation
8.8
Growth
4.4
Dividend
4.2
Momentum
5.8
Risk & Context
8.6

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E9.82
Fwd P/E11.38
EV/EBITDA1.38
P/B1.96
P/S0.35
PEG0.37
Market cap6.81 B GBP
Enterprise value6.40 B GBP
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)80.7%
Gross margin35.86%
FCF conversion46%
Operating margin25.86%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE19.87%
ROA17.75%
Net margin3.64%
FCF2.14 B GBP
FCF yield31.47%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt2.80 B GBP
Net debt-674.0 M GBP
Cash3.48 B GBP
EBITDA4.65 B GBP
Net debt / EBITDA-0.15
D/E74.08
Current ratio1.43
Quick ratio1.09
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth0.60%
Earnings growthN/D
EPS (TTM)0.15 GBP
EPS (Fwd)0.13 GBP
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.04%
Payout36.4%
Beta0.32
Analyst consensusBuy (13)
Target price2.06 GBP
52-week range1.46 GBP – 2.20 GBP
⚠️ Main risk: Operational and regulatory risk in the UK gas supply market, with warnings from British Gas itself about potential shortages that could compress margins.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Centrica is an integrated UK energy company, owner of British Gas, operating in gas exploration and production, electricity generation, and retail energy supply to homes and businesses. Centrica shows solid financial health with net cash (ND/EBITDA of -0.15) and an attractive valuation (P/E 9.82, FCF yield 31.47%), but growth is flat (0.60%) and the dividend is low. The main risk is operational: a potential UK gas shortage could pressure British Gas margins.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health8.8
Quality / Moat7.4
Valuation8.8
Growth4.4
Dividend4.2
Momentum5.8
Risk & Context8.6

OVERALL SCORE: 7.4/10

Context and risks

Regulatory and supply risk in the UK domestic energy market, with warnings from British Gas itself about potential winter shortages. The nuclear review is a long-term opportunity but does not offset short-term operational risk.

News considered in the analysis

  • X-energy Xe-100 Reactor Accepted Into UK Nuclear Regulatory Review — Avanza la opción nuclear de Centrica, pero es un desarrollo a largo plazo y no afecta a los beneficios a corto plazo.
  • Britain’s gas cliff-edge is drawing dangerously close — El riesgo de escasez de gas en Reino Unido podría elevar los costes de suministro y la volatilidad para British Gas.
  • British Gas boss warns UK risks winter fuel shortage — Advertencia directa de la filial principal sobre un riesgo operativo y de márgenes en el próximo invierno.
  • Is X-Energy Building a New Model for Industrial Nuclear Power? — Artículo especulativo sobre un socio potencial; sin información nueva material para Centrica.
  • 3 UK Dividend Stocks With Defensive Cash Flows Worth A Closer Look — Listículo genérico sin información específica nueva.

Verdict: Hold; valuation and balance sheet are solid, but wait for the winter supply risk to dissipate before adding to the position.

Main risk: Operational and regulatory risk in the UK gas supply market, with warnings from British Gas itself about potential shortages that could compress margins.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.