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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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BAE Systems BA.L

United Kingdom Industrials
5.9/10
AI Analyst score
19.75 GBP
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 23.31 (+18.0%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold positions; defense demand from geopolitical tensions is a catalyst, but valuation offers no margin of safety.

BAE Systems is a British defense and aerospace company that designs, manufactures, and maintains military systems, including combat aircraft, armored vehicles, ships, and electronic systems, with recurring revenue from long-term government contracts. BAE Systems shows solid financial health with Net Debt/EBITDA of 1.32 and ROE of 18.63%, although its valuation (P/E 28.22) already discounts growth expectations. Revenue growth of 7.70% and free cash flow conversion of 78.29% support its defensive profile.

Financial health
6.2
Quality / Moat
5.7
Valuation
5.0
Growth
5.9
Dividend
4.7
Momentum
4.8
Risk & Context
8.9

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E28.22
Fwd P/E20.61
EV/EBITDA17.09
P/B4.78
P/S1.97
PEG2.74
Market cap57.83 B GBP
Enterprise value64.15 B GBP
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)13.4%
Gross margin13.31%
FCF conversion78%
Operating margin9.67%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE18.63%
ROA4.79%
Net margin7.19%
FCF2.94 B GBP
FCF yield5.08%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt9.15 B GBP
Net debt4.95 B GBP
Cash4.20 B GBP
EBITDA3.75 B GBP
Net debt / EBITDA1.32
D/E72.95
Current ratio1.02
Quick ratio0.90
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth7.70%
Earnings growth5.60%
EPS (TTM)0.70 GBP
EPS (Fwd)0.96 GBP
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.02%
Payout52.0%
Beta-0.06
Analyst consensusBuy (20)
Target price23.31 GBP
52-week range15.29 GBP – 23.60 GBP
⚠️ Main risk: Dependence on government defense budgets, which may face cuts or delays, and exposure to geopolitical tensions affecting costs and supply chain.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

BAE Systems is a British defense and aerospace company that designs, manufactures, and maintains military systems, including combat aircraft, armored vehicles, ships, and electronic systems, with recurring revenue from long-term government contracts. BAE Systems shows solid financial health with Net Debt/EBITDA of 1.32 and ROE of 18.63%, although its valuation (P/E 28.22) already discounts growth expectations. Revenue growth of 7.70% and free cash flow conversion of 78.29% support its defensive profile.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health6.2
Quality / Moat5.7
Valuation5.0
Growth5.9
Dividend4.7
Momentum4.8
Risk & Context8.9

OVERALL SCORE: 5.9/10

Context and risks

Exposure to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East that may affect defense demand, but also increase operating and supply chain costs. Rising oil pressures margins, though mitigated by long-term government contracts.

News considered in the analysis

  • European Indexes Slide as Higher Oil Weighs on Defense Stocks, Banks — El repunte del crudo presiona los costes operativos y de combustible, aunque el impacto en BAE es limitado dado su modelo de contratos gubernamentales.
  • 3 Defense Stocks Investors Are Watching As Middle East Risk Puts Aerospace In Focus — La tensión geopolítica en Oriente Medio puede incrementar la demanda de defensa, beneficiando a BAE Systems.
  • Will This Major Industry Showcase Boost Quantum Computing Stocks? — Noticia genérica sobre computación cuántica sin relación directa con BAE Systems.
  • Are Aerospace Stocks Lagging ATI INC (ATI) This Year? — Comparativa sectorial sin información nueva sobre BAE Systems.
  • 3 British Undervalued Stocks For September 2026 — Listículo genérico sin información específica relevante.

Verdict: Hold positions; defense demand from geopolitical tensions is a catalyst, but valuation offers no margin of safety.

Main risk: Dependence on government defense budgets, which may face cuts or delays, and exposure to geopolitical tensions affecting costs and supply chain.

Other Industrials companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.