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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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CSX CSX

United States Industrials
5.9/10
AI Analyst score
46.78 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 53.06 (+13.4%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold or accumulate on dips; operational quality and growth justify the multiple, but watch debt costs amid high rates.

CSX Corporation is one of the leading freight rail companies in the United States, operating a network of approximately 20,000 miles connecting major ports, industrial and consumer centers in the eastern part of the country. CSX shows solid financial health with an operating margin of 38.42% and ROE of 24.36%, though its elevated debt (ND/EBITDA 2.64) and demanding valuation (P/E 27.20) limit appeal; earnings growth of 22.7% and momentum of 52.29% support the positive thesis.

Financial health
5.5
Quality / Moat
6.8
Valuation
4.2
Growth
7.2
Dividend
5.6
Momentum
8.6
Risk & Context
5.0

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E27.20
Fwd P/E20.58
EV/EBITDA15.33
P/B6.15
P/S5.97
PEG1.68
Market cap86.66 B USD
Enterprise value104.72 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)16.6%
Gross margin47.07%
FCF conversion29%
Operating margin38.42%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE24.36%
ROA7.38%
Net margin22.21%
FCF1.95 B USD
FCF yield2.25%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt19.45 B USD
Net debt18.06 B USD
Cash1.39 B USD
EBITDA6.83 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA2.64
D/E138.07
Current ratio0.82
Quick ratio0.69
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth10.10%
Earnings growth22.70%
EPS (TTM)1.72 USD
EPS (Fwd)2.27 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield1.20%
Payout31.4%
Beta1.21
Analyst consensusBuy (23)
Target price53.06 USD
52-week range33.63 USD – 53.60 USD
⚠️ Main risk: Financial leverage (Debt/Equity 138%) combined with the rise in 10-year yields could compress interest margins and valuation if growth decelerates.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

CSX Corporation is one of the leading freight rail companies in the United States, operating a network of approximately 20,000 miles connecting major ports, industrial and consumer centers in the eastern part of the country. CSX shows solid financial health with an operating margin of 38.42% and ROE of 24.36%, though its elevated debt (ND/EBITDA 2.64) and demanding valuation (P/E 27.20) limit appeal; earnings growth of 22.7% and momentum of 52.29% support the positive thesis.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health5.5
Quality / Moat6.8
Valuation4.2
Growth7.2
Dividend5.6
Momentum8.6
Risk & Context5.0

OVERALL SCORE: 5.9/10

Context and risks

The rise in 10-year Treasury yields (5.17%) raises refinancing costs for CSX's debt (ND/EBITDA 2.64, Debt/Equity 138%), though the impact is moderated by its strong operating margin (38.42%) and stable cash flow. No direct exposure to crude or conflicted shipping routes.

News considered in the analysis

  • 3 Railroad Stocks With Pricing Power and Growing Dividends for Income Investors — Listículo genérico sin información nueva sobre CSX.
  • 4 Dividend Stocks Built Around America’s Irreplaceable Freight Network — Listículo promocional sin datos específicos de CSX.
  • New $100M inland rail terminal will handle 60,000 TEUs a year — Inversión de 100M USD en capacidad intermodal que refuerza el crecimiento de volumen, aunque es moderada frente a la escala de CSX.
  • Regulators turn down requests for summary denial of UP-NS merger — La posible fusión UP-NS (competidores) sigue viva; si se consumara, aumentaría la presión competitiva en el oeste, pero el impacto sobre CSX en el este es limitado y aún incierto.
  • Stock Market Today: Dow Up, Nasdaq Roars To Record As Micron Does This; AMD Hits New High — Ruido de mercado general sin relación directa con CSX.

Verdict: Hold or accumulate on dips; operational quality and growth justify the multiple, but watch debt costs amid high rates.

Main risk: Financial leverage (Debt/Equity 138%) combined with the rise in 10-year yields could compress interest margins and valuation if growth decelerates.

Other Industrials companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.