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Boliden BOL.ST

Sweden Basic Materials
6.1/10
AI Analyst score
500.80 SEK
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 539.73 (+7.8%)
🛒 Where to buy BOL.STPartner brokers · Sweden · sample 200.00 € orderSweden
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the Nexa acquisition is positive long-term but cycle and integration risks warrant caution.

Boliden AB is a Swedish mining and smelting company that extracts and processes metals such as zinc, copper, lead, and gold, with integrated operations from mine to finished product. Boliden shows solid financial health (ND/EBITDA 0.70) and attractive valuation (P/E 11.19), but the 286.9% earnings growth reflects a peak in the metals cycle. The $1.3B acquisition of Nexa Resources is a strategic move adding zinc and South American exposure, though it introduces execution and leverage risk.

Financial health
7.1
Quality / Moat
4.1
Valuation
7.3
Growth
7.2
Dividend
5.8
Momentum
7.5
Risk & Context
5.3

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E11.19
Fwd P/E9.55
EV/EBITDA6.27
P/B1.77
P/S1.37
PEG2.98
Market cap142.21 B SEK
Enterprise value166.49 B SEK
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)12.5%
Gross margin19.03%
FCF conversion6%
Operating margin12.41%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE16.78%
ROA7.34%
Net margin12.23%
FCF1.67 B SEK
FCF yield1.17%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt22.72 B SEK
Net debt18.52 B SEK
Cash4.20 B SEK
EBITDA26.56 B SEK
Net debt / EBITDA0.70
D/E28.23
Current ratio1.57
Quick ratio0.41
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth15.50%
Earnings growth286.90%
EPS (TTM)44.75 SEK
EPS (Fwd)30.47 SEK
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield2.20%
Payout24.6%
Beta1.14
Analyst consensusHold (15)
Target price539.73 SEK
52-week range371.00 SEK – 727.80 SEK
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the execution of the Nexa Resources acquisition, which adds exposure to jurisdictions with higher regulatory risk (Peru, Brazil) and increases leverage, at a time of a possible peak in the metals cycle.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Boliden AB is a Swedish mining and smelting company that extracts and processes metals such as zinc, copper, lead, and gold, with integrated operations from mine to finished product. Boliden shows solid financial health (ND/EBITDA 0.70) and attractive valuation (P/E 11.19), but the 286.9% earnings growth reflects a peak in the metals cycle. The $1.3B acquisition of Nexa Resources is a strategic move adding zinc and South American exposure, though it introduces execution and leverage risk.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health7.1
Quality / Moat4.1
Valuation7.3
Growth7.2
Dividend5.8
Momentum7.5
Risk & Context5.3

OVERALL SCORE: 6.1/10

Context and risks

The Nexa Resources acquisition adds exposure to Peru and Brazil, jurisdictions with higher regulatory and governance risk than Sweden. The integration execution risk and additional leverage justify a moderate adjustment.

News considered in the analysis

  • Boliden to acquire 64.7% stake in Nexa Resources from Votorantim — Adquisición transformadora de $1.3B que expande la exposición al zinc y la presencia en Sudamérica; el mercado ya lo descuenta parcialmente tras los rumores.
  • Sweden’s Boliden to Buy Majority Stake in Zinc Producer Nexa Resources for $1.3 Billion — Confirma el acuerdo con Votorantim; la integración de Nexa añade volumen de zinc y cobre, pero también riesgo de ejecución y deuda.
  • Boliden AB (BLIDF) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong EBIT Growth Amid Operational Challenges — Fuerte crecimiento del EBIT en el segundo trimestre, aunque con desafíos operativos; refuerza la tendencia positiva de resultados.
  • Nexa Resources (NEXA) Confirms Boliden Takeover Talks With Votorantim Involved — Rumor previo ya descontado por el mercado; la confirmación no añade información nueva.
  • Nexa Resources (NEXA) Stock Looks Cheap On Earnings But Fairly Priced After 188% Run — Análisis de valoración de una participada, sin información nueva para Boliden.

Verdict: Hold; the Nexa acquisition is positive long-term but cycle and integration risks warrant caution.

Main risk: The main risk is the execution of the Nexa Resources acquisition, which adds exposure to jurisdictions with higher regulatory risk (Peru, Brazil) and increases leverage, at a time of a possible peak in the metals cycle.

Other Basic Materials companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.