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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Glencore GLEN.L

Switzerland Basic Materials
6.1/10
AI Analyst score
5.47 GBP
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 6.43 (+17.6%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; strong growth and positive momentum are offset by high leverage and the cyclical nature of the business.

Glencore is one of the world's largest diversified natural resources companies, engaged in the extraction, processing, and marketing of commodities such as copper, zinc, coal, and oil, with a strong presence in emerging markets. Glencore shows exceptional revenue growth of 48.60% and very strong momentum (8.96), but its financial health is fragile (ND/EBITDA of 3.32, operating margin of 2.80) and its valuation, although attractive (P/E 16.09), is in line with the sector. Leverage and cyclical exposure are the main drags.

Financial health
3.9
Quality / Moat
4.0
Valuation
7.0
Growth
9.4
Dividend
4.4
Momentum
9.0
Risk & Context
7.9

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E16.09
Fwd P/E12.21
EV/EBITDA10.05
P/B2.19
P/S0.28
PEG0.22
Market cap64.16 B GBP
Enterprise value127.08 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)10.1%
Gross margin3.40%
FCF conversion25%
Operating margin2.80%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE16.04%
ROA3.17%
Net margin1.78%
FCF3.20 B USD
FCF yield3.76%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt45.73 B USD
Net debt42.00 B USD
Cash3.74 B USD
EBITDA12.65 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA3.32
D/E124.23
Current ratio1.06
Quick ratio0.33
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth48.60%
Earnings growthN/D
EPS (TTM)0.34 GBP
EPS (Fwd)0.45 GBP
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.02%
Payout30.0%
Beta0.52
Analyst consensusBuy (20)
Target price6.43 GBP
52-week range3.32 GBP – 7.07 GBP
⚠️ Main risk: High leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 3.32) combined with exposure to cyclical commodities and geopolitical risks in emerging markets and key shipping routes.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Glencore is one of the world's largest diversified natural resources companies, engaged in the extraction, processing, and marketing of commodities such as copper, zinc, coal, and oil, with a strong presence in emerging markets. Glencore shows exceptional revenue growth of 48.60% and very strong momentum (8.96), but its financial health is fragile (ND/EBITDA of 3.32, operating margin of 2.80) and its valuation, although attractive (P/E 16.09), is in line with the sector. Leverage and cyclical exposure are the main drags.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health3.9
Quality / Moat4.0
Valuation7.0
Growth9.4
Dividend4.4
Momentum9.0
Risk & Context7.9

OVERALL SCORE: 6.1/10

Context and risks

Glencore has significant exposure to coal and operations in emerging markets, adding regulatory and geopolitical risk. Additionally, its oil trading business is exposed to crude volatility and tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, which could affect its routes and margins.

News considered in the analysis

  • Glencore (LSE:GLEN) Stock Trades At a Premium After Its 104% 5 Year Run — Artículo de análisis genérico sin información nueva; la revalorización ya está en el precio.
  • Critical Minerals Wrap: CRML, GRML Surge On Greenland Deal, US Stockpile Push Accelerates As Trump-Xi Talks Put Rare Earths In Spotlight — El impulso de EE.UU. por asegurar minerales críticos y el interés en tierras raras refuerza la demanda de los productos de Glencore, aunque el efecto es indirecto y parcialmente descontado.
  • UBS upgrades Glencore as commodity gains boost earnings outlook — Upgrade de UBS por la mejora del entorno de materias primas; señal positiva pero de magnitud moderada y ya parcialmente reflejada en el precio.
  • Nth Cycle signs $1bn recycled minerals supply deal with Glencore — Contrato de suministro de minerales reciclados por 1.000 millones de dólares; refuerza la posición de Glencore en el suministro sostenible de metales, con impacto positivo en ingresos futuros.
  • Former boss of collapsed oil refinery accused of £334m ‘fake invoice fraud’ — Noticia sobre un antiguo directivo de una refinería colapsada, sin relación con Glencore.

Verdict: Hold; strong growth and positive momentum are offset by high leverage and the cyclical nature of the business.

Main risk: High leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 3.32) combined with exposure to cyclical commodities and geopolitical risks in emerging markets and key shipping routes.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.