⚠️ Not investment advice. This is a quantitative research tool; every decision is the user's own responsibility. Past performance does not guarantee future results.⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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CAE CAE.TO

Canada Industrials
4.2/10
AI Analyst score
35.17 CAD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 43.79 (+24.5%)
🛒 Where to buy CAE.TOCanada
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🟡 HOLD — Hold pending a sustained improvement in the civil aviation business or a more attractive valuation.

CAE is a Canadian leader in civil and military pilot training, and in simulation and training solutions for defense and security, with a business model based on recurring training services and simulator sales. CAE shows moderate financial health (ND/EBITDA 2.85) and a demanding valuation (P/E 39.52), with very negative earnings growth (-46%) reflecting weakness in civil aviation, although expansion in defense and drones offers a recovery path.

Financial health
5.2
Quality / Moat
4.4
Valuation
4.5
Growth
2.8
Dividend
1.5
Momentum
2.7
Risk & Context
5.9

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E39.52
Fwd P/E23.69
EV/EBITDA15.07
P/B2.09
P/S2.27
PEG1.82
Market cap11.32 B CAD
Enterprise value13.99 B CAD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)5.8%
Gross margin28.57%
FCF conversion75%
Operating margin10.06%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE5.64%
ROA3.53%
Net margin5.75%
FCF694.6 M CAD
FCF yield6.14%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt3.21 B CAD
Net debt2.65 B CAD
Cash568.7 M CAD
EBITDA928.4 M CAD
Net debt / EBITDA2.85
D/E58.63
Current ratio0.83
Quick ratio0.61
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth6.80%
Earnings growth-46.00%
EPS (TTM)0.89 CAD
EPS (Fwd)1.48 CAD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.00%
Payout0.0%
Beta1.02
Analyst consensusBuy (14)
Target price43.79 CAD
52-week range31.42 CAD – 47.65 CAD
⚠️ Main risk: The 46% drop in earnings and weakness in the civil aviation segment, which could persist if the air traffic recovery is delayed.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

CAE is a Canadian leader in civil and military pilot training, and in simulation and training solutions for defense and security, with a business model based on recurring training services and simulator sales. CAE shows moderate financial health (ND/EBITDA 2.85) and a demanding valuation (P/E 39.52), with very negative earnings growth (-46%) reflecting weakness in civil aviation, although expansion in defense and drones offers a recovery path.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health5.2
Quality / Moat4.4
Valuation4.5
Growth2.8
Dividend1.5
Momentum2.7
Risk & Context5.9

OVERALL SCORE: 4.2/10

Context and risks

CAE has exposure to the aerospace supply chain and maritime routes for components, but its core business (training and simulation) does not depend on oil or interest rates in a material way. The main risk is the slowdown in civil aviation and margin pressure, not the macro context.

News considered in the analysis

  • CAE (CAE) Expands Into Drone Training With New Poland Alliance — Expansión a un segmento de alto crecimiento (drones) con un socio estratégico en un país de la OTAN; aún no se ha materializado en ingresos.
  • Should You Buy Park Stock After Its 61% Rally in a Year? — Artículo sobre otra empresa (Park), sin información relevante para CAE.
  • CAE Inc (CAE) (Q1 2027) Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Cash Flow and Defense Growth Offset by ... — Resultados del primer trimestre con fuerte generación de caja y crecimiento en defensa, pero compensados por debilidades en aviación civil; el mercado ya lo ha descontado parcialmente.
  • CAE Q1 Earnings Call Highlights — Mismo evento que la noticia anterior, con énfasis en los puntos clave de la llamada de resultados.
  • Could CAE (TSX:CAE) Be 10% Undervalued After First Quarter 2026 Results? — Análisis de valoración especulativo sin información nueva; el mercado ya ha reaccionado a los resultados.

Verdict: Hold pending a sustained improvement in the civil aviation business or a more attractive valuation.

Main risk: The 46% drop in earnings and weakness in the civil aviation segment, which could persist if the air traffic recovery is delayed.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.