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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Ferrovial FER.MC

Netherlands Industrials
4.2/10
AI Analyst score
48.28 EUR
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 61.86 (+28.1%)
🛒 Where to buy FER.MCPartner brokers · Spain (BME) · sample 200.00 € orderSpain (BME)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the potential of the I-24 project and its US position offset high debt and valuation, but require patience.

Ferrovial is a Spanish multinational infrastructure company that designs, builds, and operates toll roads, airports, and other transport assets, mainly in Spain, the UK, the US, and Canada. Ferrovial shows tight financial health (ND/EBITDA 4.39) and demanding valuation (P/E 58.17), but the award of the I-24 project in the US for $9.2 billion strengthens its long-term growth pipeline.

Financial health
3.6
Quality / Moat
5.9
Valuation
1.7
Growth
3.4
Dividend
2.9
Momentum
4.1
Risk & Context
7.1

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E58.17
Fwd P/E41.59
EV/EBITDA28.09
P/B6.08
P/S3.53
PEG10.15
Market cap34.78 B EUR
Enterprise value43.48 B EUR
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)6.3%
Gross margin87.14%
FCF conversion57%
Operating margin10.44%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE11.62%
ROA2.62%
Net margin6.15%
FCF889.6 M EUR
FCF yield2.56%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt10.66 B EUR
Net debt6.79 B EUR
Cash3.86 B EUR
EBITDA1.55 B EUR
Net debt / EBITDA4.39
D/E144.09
Current ratio1.20
Quick ratio1.09
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth5.20%
Earnings growth-52.00%
EPS (TTM)0.83 EUR
EPS (Fwd)1.16 EUR
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield2.96%
Payout133.9%
Beta0.78
Analyst consensusBuy (21)
Target price61.86 EUR
52-week range46.67 EUR – 63.54 EUR
⚠️ Main risk: High leverage (ND/EBITDA 4.39) combined with rising 10-year yields makes refinancing more expensive and pressures the valuation of its long-duration concessions.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Ferrovial is a Spanish multinational infrastructure company that designs, builds, and operates toll roads, airports, and other transport assets, mainly in Spain, the UK, the US, and Canada. Ferrovial shows tight financial health (ND/EBITDA 4.39) and demanding valuation (P/E 58.17), but the award of the I-24 project in the US for $9.2 billion strengthens its long-term growth pipeline.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health3.6
Quality / Moat5.9
Valuation1.7
Growth3.4
Dividend2.9
Momentum4.1
Risk & Context7.1

OVERALL SCORE: 4.2/10

Context and risks

Ferrovial operates toll roads and airports with net debt/EBITDA of 4.39, sensitive to the rise in 10-year Treasury yields (5.17%) which increases refinancing costs and reduces the present value of its long-duration concessions.

News considered in the analysis

  • Ferrovial consortium selected for $9.2bn I-24 project in Tennessee, US — Contrato de gran magnitud que refuerza la cartera de proyectos en EE.UU., mercado clave para Ferrovial.
  • Nashville’s Traffic Nightmare Is Now a $9.2B Ferrovial (FER)-Led Project — Cobertura mediática del mismo proyecto I-24, ya reflejada parcialmente en el precio.
  • Ferrovial (BME:FER) Stock Looks Pricey On Its 147% Five Year Run — Artículo de opinión sobre valoración, sin información nueva; refuerza la percepción de múltiplos elevados.
  • Is Corporación América Airports (CAAP) a Deep-Value Bargain? — Ruido sobre otra empresa, sin relevancia para Ferrovial.
  • Reform UK plays down crypto ties as it courts business, diplomats — Noticia política sin relación con Ferrovial.

Verdict: Hold; the potential of the I-24 project and its US position offset high debt and valuation, but require patience.

Main risk: High leverage (ND/EBITDA 4.39) combined with rising 10-year yields makes refinancing more expensive and pressures the valuation of its long-duration concessions.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.