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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Casey's General Stores CASY

United States Consumer Cyclical
6.1/10
AI Analyst score
598.46 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 790.53 (+32.1%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; growth justifies the premium, but valuation limits near-term upside.

Casey's General Stores operates a chain of convenience stores in the US Midwest, selling gasoline, prepared food, and grocery products, with a business model that combines retail and fuel sales. Casey's shows solid growth (revenue +24.3%, earnings +27.7%) and a 20% ROE, but its valuation (P/E 28.81) already prices in good expectations, and the 6.5% operating margin is vulnerable to cost pressure.

Financial health
5.3
Quality / Moat
5.7
Valuation
4.5
Growth
8.4
Dividend
3.3
Momentum
8.5
Risk & Context
7.6

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E28.81
Fwd P/E25.52
EV/EBITDA15.65
P/B5.41
P/S1.18
PEG2.71
Market cap22.12 B USD
Enterprise value24.48 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)17.4%
Gross margin23.82%
FCF conversion32%
Operating margin6.50%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE19.98%
ROA7.91%
Net margin4.14%
FCF503.3 M USD
FCF yield2.28%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt2.89 B USD
Net debt2.36 B USD
Cash524.1 M USD
EBITDA1.56 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA1.51
D/E70.55
Current ratio1.02
Quick ratio0.56
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth24.30%
Earnings growth27.70%
EPS (TTM)20.77 USD
EPS (Fwd)23.45 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.43%
Payout11.4%
Beta0.59
Analyst consensusBuy (19)
Target price790.53 USD
52-week range497.38 USD – 927.85 USD
⚠️ Main risk: Margin compression from higher fuel costs and intense competition in prepared food could erode profitability despite revenue growth.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Casey's General Stores operates a chain of convenience stores in the US Midwest, selling gasoline, prepared food, and grocery products, with a business model that combines retail and fuel sales. Casey's shows solid growth (revenue +24.3%, earnings +27.7%) and a 20% ROE, but its valuation (P/E 28.81) already prices in good expectations, and the 6.5% operating margin is vulnerable to cost pressure.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health5.3
Quality / Moat5.7
Valuation4.5
Growth8.4
Dividend3.3
Momentum8.5
Risk & Context7.6

OVERALL SCORE: 6.1/10

Context and risks

The surge in crude oil raises fuel costs, but Casey's passes these costs to consumers, although a 6.5% operating margin limits its absorption capacity. Weak US employment could pressure discretionary spending on prepared food, though it's a defensive sector.

News considered in the analysis

  • Casey's Inside Same-Store Sales Rise on Food & Beverage Strength — El crecimiento de las ventas comparables impulsado por alimentos y bebidas es un motor clave de márgenes y tráfico, ya que el margen de combustible es estrecho.
  • Casey’s to acquire 20-store Oklahoma chain — La adquisición de 20 tiendas en Oklahoma amplía la presencia geográfica y es consistente con su estrategia de crecimiento por adquisiciones, aunque el impacto en beneficios a corto plazo es moderado.
  • Casey's General Stores (CASY) Beat Estimates, So Why Did Wall Street Cut Its Targets? — A pesar de superar estimaciones, los recortes de objetivos sugieren preocupación por la valoración o márgenes futuros, lo que ejerce presión sobre el sentimiento.
  • After Plunging 28.5% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why the Trend Might Reverse for Casey's (CASY) — La posible reversión tras la caída podría indicar una oportunidad de compra, pero es especulativo y depende de la estabilización del mercado.
  • Casey's General Stores Stock: Is CASY Outperforming the Consumer Staples Sector? — Artículo comparativo sin información nueva relevante para la valoración.

Verdict: Hold; growth justifies the premium, but valuation limits near-term upside.

Main risk: Margin compression from higher fuel costs and intense competition in prepared food could erode profitability despite revenue growth.

Other Consumer Cyclical companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.