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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Cenovus Energy CVE

Canada Energy
7.4/10
AI Analyst score
30.93 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 37.01 (+19.7%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the solid financial position and attractive valuation offset the risk of peak cyclical earnings.

Cenovus Energy is an integrated Canadian oil company that explores, produces, refines, and markets oil and gas, with assets in Canadian oil sands and refineries in the US and Canada. Cenovus has a solid financial health (ND/EBITDA 0.59) and an attractive valuation (EV/EBITDA 6.22), but the 239% earnings growth reflects a cyclical peak that is not sustainable.

Financial health
7.8
Quality / Moat
6.8
Valuation
7.2
Growth
7.2
Dividend
5.7
Momentum
9.3
Risk & Context
8.1

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E12.13
Fwd P/E11.77
EV/EBITDA6.22
P/B2.55
P/S1.50
PEG0.34
Market cap57.04 B USD
Enterprise value89.20 B CAD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)29.7%
Gross margin29.86%
FCF conversion38%
Operating margin23.83%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE20.93%
ROA9.23%
Net margin12.37%
FCF5.48 B CAD
FCF yield6.78%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt11.63 B CAD
Net debt8.46 B CAD
Cash3.17 B CAD
EBITDA14.34 B CAD
Net debt / EBITDA0.59
D/E33.99
Current ratio1.63
Quick ratio1.04
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth41.50%
Earnings growth239.10%
EPS (TTM)2.55 USD
EPS (Fwd)2.63 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield2.04%
Payout22.8%
Beta0.50
Analyst consensusStrong buy (2)
Target price37.01 USD
52-week range15.63 USD – 34.16 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the normalization of crude oil prices from highs, which would reduce earnings and cash flow, impacting valuation and dividends.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Cenovus Energy is an integrated Canadian oil company that explores, produces, refines, and markets oil and gas, with assets in Canadian oil sands and refineries in the US and Canada. Cenovus has a solid financial health (ND/EBITDA 0.59) and an attractive valuation (EV/EBITDA 6.22), but the 239% earnings growth reflects a cyclical peak that is not sustainable.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health7.8
Quality / Moat6.8
Valuation7.2
Growth7.2
Dividend5.7
Momentum9.3
Risk & Context8.1

OVERALL SCORE: 7.4/10

Context and risks

Exposure to crude oil volatility and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East that can affect oil prices. However, as an integrated producer, the risk is partially mitigated by refining.

News considered in the analysis

  • Canada’s Oil Patch On Track For Biggest M&A Wave In A Decade — La consolidación en el sector podría mejorar la eficiencia y el valor de los activos de Cenovus, aunque el impacto directo en beneficios es incierto.
  • Cenovus Energy (TSX:CVE) Could Be 4% Below Fair Value Following Its Recent Pullback — Análisis de valoración que sugiere una ligera infravaloración, pero con impacto limitado en el precio.
  • Cenovus Energy (CVE) Stock Dips While Market Gains: Key Facts — Ruido de mercado sin información nueva.
  • Cenovus Energy (CVE) Gains As Market Dips: What You Should Know — Ruido de mercado sin información nueva.
  • Cenovus Energy Inc's Dividend Analysis — Análisis de dividendo sin información nueva.

Verdict: Hold; the solid financial position and attractive valuation offset the risk of peak cyclical earnings.

Main risk: The main risk is the normalization of crude oil prices from highs, which would reduce earnings and cash flow, impacting valuation and dividends.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.