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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob PBR

Brazil Energy
7.5/10
AI Analyst score
20.37 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 22.46 (+10.3%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold, with a negative bias due to governance risk, despite a solid financial position and cheap valuation.

Petrobras is Brazil's state-owned integrated oil company, with offshore exploration and production in the pre-salt and refining. Petrobras shows solid fundamentals with a 44.68% operating margin, 30.27% ROE, and an attractive valuation (P/E 5.14), but the governance risk from Brazilian state control is the most significant factor in the investment decision.

Financial health
7.0
Quality / Moat
8.0
Valuation
8.2
Growth
7.5
Dividend
8.9
Momentum
7.7
Risk & Context
5.7

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E5.14
Fwd P/E5.11
EV/EBITDA4.09
P/B9.01
P/S1.24
PEG5.83
Market cap131.27 B USD
Enterprise value993.31 B BRL
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)55.4%
Gross margin50.60%
FCF conversion39%
Operating margin44.68%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE30.27%
ROA10.07%
Net margin24.32%
FCF94.24 B BRL
FCF yield13.85%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt366.53 B BRL
Net debt312.77 B BRL
Cash53.76 B BRL
EBITDA243.04 B BRL
Net debt / EBITDA1.29
D/E76.07
Current ratio0.85
Quick ratio0.54
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth42.30%
Earnings growth96.80%
EPS (TTM)3.96 USD
EPS (Fwd)3.99 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield8.25%
Payout28.9%
Beta-0.21
Analyst consensusBuy (14)
Target price22.46 USD
52-week range11.43 USD – 22.24 USD
⚠️ Main risk: Governance risk from state control in Brazil, which may lead to political interference in management and prevent profits from reaching minority shareholders.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Petrobras is Brazil's state-owned integrated oil company, with offshore exploration and production in the pre-salt and refining. Petrobras shows solid fundamentals with a 44.68% operating margin, 30.27% ROE, and an attractive valuation (P/E 5.14), but the governance risk from Brazilian state control is the most significant factor in the investment decision.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health7.0
Quality / Moat8.0
Valuation8.2
Growth7.5
Dividend8.9
Momentum7.7
Risk & Context5.7

OVERALL SCORE: 7.5/10

Context and risks

Elevated governance risk due to state control in Brazil, with a history of political interference in the company's management (fuel prices, appointments). This risk may prevent profits from reaching minority shareholders.

News considered in the analysis

  • Petrobras (PBR) Takes its Oil Hunt to Ivory Coast: Is Another Major Oil Play Taking Shape? — Exploración en un nuevo país africano, potencial de crecimiento a largo plazo pero con alta incertidumbre y sin impacto a corto plazo.
  • Petrobras (PBR) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: Here's Why — La caída de la acción ya está reflejada en el precio y el momentum, sin información nueva sobre los fundamentales.
  • Sector Update: Energy Stocks Fall Late Afternoon — Ruido sectorial sin impacto específico en Petrobras.
  • Sector Update: Energy Stocks Fall Friday Afternoon — Ruido sectorial sin impacto específico en Petrobras.
  • Update: Market Chatter: Petrobras Executive Expects Braskem to Finalize Deal With Creditors — La resolución de la deuda de Braskem, participada de Petrobras, podría eliminar una incertidumbre y liberar valor, aunque el impacto directo es limitado.

Verdict: Hold, with a negative bias due to governance risk, despite a solid financial position and cheap valuation.

Main risk: Governance risk from state control in Brazil, which may lead to political interference in management and prevent profits from reaching minority shareholders.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.