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Delta Air Lines DAL

United States Industrials
5.6/10
AI Analyst score
84.94 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 102.94 (+21.2%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold, with caution. Valuation is reasonable, but fuel risk and earnings weakness limit upside potential in the near term.

Delta Air Lines is a US airline operating a global passenger and cargo transport network, generating revenue from ticket sales, ancillary services, and loyalty programs. Delta Air Lines shows an attractive valuation (P/E 14.09, FCF yield 5.04%) and strong momentum (8.43), but its financial health is fragile (liquidity 0.42) and earnings growth is negative (-25.4%). The oil price surge due to the Hormuz crisis is a key risk to its margins.

Financial health
4.5
Quality / Moat
5.2
Valuation
7.6
Growth
4.4
Dividend
4.0
Momentum
8.4
Risk & Context
4.4

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E14.09
Fwd P/E10.26
EV/EBITDA9.59
P/B2.55
P/S0.82
PEG0.21
Market cap55.86 B USD
Enterprise value71.98 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)12.6%
Gross margin18.70%
FCF conversion38%
Operating margin7.92%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE20.12%
ROA4.02%
Net margin5.78%
FCF2.82 B USD
FCF yield5.04%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt21.08 B USD
Net debt16.42 B USD
Cash4.66 B USD
EBITDA7.51 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA2.19
D/E96.65
Current ratio0.42
Quick ratio0.27
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth18.70%
Earnings growth-25.40%
EPS (TTM)6.03 USD
EPS (Fwd)8.30 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield1.01%
Payout12.4%
Beta1.29
Analyst consensusStrong buy (24)
Target price102.94 USD
52-week range55.03 USD – 95.68 USD
⚠️ Main risk: Exposure to jet fuel prices, exacerbated by the Hormuz blockade, which could compress margins and cash flow in a high-rate environment.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Delta Air Lines is a US airline operating a global passenger and cargo transport network, generating revenue from ticket sales, ancillary services, and loyalty programs. Delta Air Lines shows an attractive valuation (P/E 14.09, FCF yield 5.04%) and strong momentum (8.43), but its financial health is fragile (liquidity 0.42) and earnings growth is negative (-25.4%). The oil price surge due to the Hormuz crisis is a key risk to its margins.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health4.5
Quality / Moat5.2
Valuation7.6
Growth4.4
Dividend4.0
Momentum8.4
Risk & Context4.4

OVERALL SCORE: 5.6/10

Context and risks

The main risk is exposure to jet fuel prices, which have spiked due to the Hormuz blockade. A reopening of the strait could reverse this cost, but geopolitical uncertainty is high and directly impacts Delta's margins.

News considered in the analysis

  • US airlines oppose China's bid to add more flights — La oposición a más vuelos a China limita el crecimiento de capacidad en una ruta clave, pero el impacto es moderado y ya está parcialmente descontado.
  • US Airlines Face 'Modestly Favorable' Setup Into Third-Quarter Earnings, UBS Says — La visión positiva de UBS sobre el sector antes de los resultados del tercer trimestre es un catalizador moderado, aunque es una opinión de analista ya conocida.
  • Redburn Says Its Southwest Sell Thesis Has “Played Out.” So Why Does It Still Prefer Delta and United? — La preferencia de Redburn por Delta frente a Southwest refuerza la percepción de calidad relativa, pero es una opinión de analista con impacto limitado.
  • Iran “Offered” to Reopen the Strait of Hormuz. These Stocks Could Be the Biggest Winners — Una reapertura del estrecho de Ormuz reduciría los precios del combustible, un coste clave para Delta. Aunque la probabilidad es baja, el impacto sería material y no está descontado.
  • Market Chatter: US Airlines Oppose More China Flights Despite Xi's Overture — Similar a la noticia de Reuters, la oposición a los vuelos a China es un lastre moderado para el crecimiento, ya parcialmente reflejado en el precio.

Verdict: Hold, with caution. Valuation is reasonable, but fuel risk and earnings weakness limit upside potential in the near term.

Main risk: Exposure to jet fuel prices, exacerbated by the Hormuz blockade, which could compress margins and cash flow in a high-rate environment.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.