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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Comfort Systems USA FIX

United States Industrials
5.6/10
AI Analyst score
1,658.91 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 2,197.00 (+32.4%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the quality of the business is high, but the current multiple already discounts very optimistic growth, and any execution disappointment could hit the stock hard.

Comfort Systems USA is a leading provider of installation, maintenance, and modernization services for mechanical, electrical, and plumbing (HVAC) systems in commercial and industrial buildings across the United States. Comfort Systems USA shows solid financial health with net cash (ND/EBITDA of -0.77) and exceptional return on equity (ROE 55.29%), but its valuation is extremely demanding (P/E 40.82, EV/EBITDA 28.34), leaving little room for error and making it vulnerable to a rising rate environment.

Financial health
8.0
Quality / Moat
8.6
Valuation
1.4
Growth
7.2
Dividend
2.5
Momentum
9.8
Risk & Context
3.2

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E40.82
Fwd P/E27.57
EV/EBITDA28.34
P/B18.12
P/S5.20
PEG0.55
Market cap58.38 B USD
Enterprise value56.75 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)53.3%
Gross margin25.66%
FCF conversion92%
Operating margin17.06%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE55.29%
ROA17.04%
Net margin12.78%
FCF1.84 B USD
FCF yield3.15%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt369.9 M USD
Net debt-1.54 B USD
Cash1.91 B USD
EBITDA2.00 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA-0.77
D/E11.50
Current ratio1.21
Quick ratio1.17
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth50.30%
Earnings growth91.90%
EPS (TTM)40.64 USD
EPS (Fwd)60.18 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.22%
Payout6.4%
Beta1.68
Analyst consensusnone (8)
Target price2,197.00 USD
52-week range770.47 USD – 2,073.99 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is valuation: with a P/E of 40.82 and an EV/EBITDA of 28.34, the stock is pricing in very high growth that, if not delivered, could lead to a significant correction.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Comfort Systems USA is a leading provider of installation, maintenance, and modernization services for mechanical, electrical, and plumbing (HVAC) systems in commercial and industrial buildings across the United States. Comfort Systems USA shows solid financial health with net cash (ND/EBITDA of -0.77) and exceptional return on equity (ROE 55.29%), but its valuation is extremely demanding (P/E 40.82, EV/EBITDA 28.34), leaving little room for error and making it vulnerable to a rising rate environment.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health8.0
Quality / Moat8.6
Valuation1.4
Growth7.2
Dividend2.5
Momentum9.8
Risk & Context3.2

OVERALL SCORE: 5.6/10

Context and risks

The HVAC installation and maintenance business in the US has no direct exposure to crude oil prices, shipping routes, or tariffs. The rise in 10-year Treasury yields (5.17%) is a relevant factor for a company with a P/E of 40.8, but this effect is already captured by the quantitative engine in the valuation score (1.69).

News considered in the analysis

  • 3 Cash-Heavy Stocks with Impressive Fundamentals — Listículo genérico sin información específica nueva sobre la empresa.
  • 3 Great Undervalued Stocks To Own In September 2026 — Listículo de opinión sin datos concretos que afecten a la valoración.
  • Jacobs to Provide Advisory Services for Germany's Konrad Repository — Noticia sobre un competidor (Jacobs) sin impacto directo en Comfort Systems.
  • Will Favorable Project Revisions Support Comfort Systems' Execution? — Artículo de análisis sobre la ejecución de proyectos; sugiere revisiones favorables que podrían apoyar los resultados, pero es especulativo y no cuantifica el impacto.
  • AECOM Stock Falls 30% in the Past Six Months: Is a Rebound Ahead? — Noticia sobre un competidor (AECOM) sin impacto directo en Comfort Systems.

Verdict: Hold; the quality of the business is high, but the current multiple already discounts very optimistic growth, and any execution disappointment could hit the stock hard.

Main risk: The main risk is valuation: with a P/E of 40.82 and an EV/EBITDA of 28.34, the stock is pricing in very high growth that, if not delivered, could lead to a significant correction.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.