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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Deutsche Post DHL DHL.DE

Germany Industrials
6.4/10
AI Analyst score
57.30 EUR
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 55.40 (-3.3%)
🛒 Where to buy DHL.DEPartner brokers · Germany (Xetra) · sample 200.00 € orderGermany (Xetra)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold positions; valuation is reasonable and growth is solid, but moat quality is average and leverage is moderate.

Deutsche Post DHL is a global leader in logistics and parcel delivery, with divisions in mail, express, freight, and supply chain. DHL shows moderate financial health (4.92) with controlled leverage, but stands out for its attractive valuation (P/E 17.47, FCF yield 8.53%) and solid growth (revenue +12.8%, earnings +28.6%). Momentum is strong (8.12), though moat quality is average (5.77).

Financial health
4.9
Quality / Moat
5.8
Valuation
7.1
Growth
7.7
Dividend
7.3
Momentum
8.1
Risk & Context
5.8

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E17.47
Fwd P/E15.02
EV/EBITDA10.44
P/B2.85
P/S0.75
PEG2.64
Market cap63.60 B EUR
Enterprise value87.69 B EUR
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)14.1%
Gross margin17.84%
FCF conversion65%
Operating margin8.33%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE18.09%
ROA5.37%
Net margin4.34%
FCF5.43 B EUR
FCF yield8.53%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt27.97 B EUR
Net debt23.68 B EUR
Cash4.29 B EUR
EBITDA8.40 B EUR
Net debt / EBITDA2.82
D/E122.61
Current ratio1.03
Quick ratio0.82
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth12.80%
Earnings growth28.60%
EPS (TTM)3.28 EUR
EPS (Fwd)3.82 EUR
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield3.32%
Payout57.9%
Beta1.13
Analyst consensusHold (18)
Target price55.40 EUR
52-week range37.63 EUR – 58.90 EUR
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is exposure to the global economic cycle and international trade, which could impact freight and express volumes. Net debt/EBITDA of 2.82 is manageable, but a high-rate environment could pressure financing costs.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Deutsche Post DHL is a global leader in logistics and parcel delivery, with divisions in mail, express, freight, and supply chain. DHL shows moderate financial health (4.92) with controlled leverage, but stands out for its attractive valuation (P/E 17.47, FCF yield 8.53%) and solid growth (revenue +12.8%, earnings +28.6%). Momentum is strong (8.12), though moat quality is average (5.77).

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health4.9
Quality / Moat5.8
Valuation7.1
Growth7.7
Dividend7.3
Momentum8.1
Risk & Context5.8

OVERALL SCORE: 6.4/10

Context and risks

The macro context (rates, energy, geopolitics) has no material and demonstrable direct impact on DHL's business. The company is a global logistics operator with geographic and service diversification, and its exposure to the mentioned factors is already reflected in its financial metrics.

News considered in the analysis

  • Tesla Says Its Semi Is Finally in Volume Production. So, Why Did the Stock Fall? — La producción en volumen del Semi es un hito operativo para Tesla, pero no afecta directamente a los fundamentales de DHL.
  • Tesla's Semi Is Finally Moving Into a Bigger Test — La expansión del Semi de Tesla podría aumentar la competencia en el transporte de larga distancia, un segmento donde DHL opera, pero el impacto es moderado y a largo plazo.
  • Tesla Starts Semi Deliveries Nearly Nine Years After Unveiling — Las entregas del Semi de Tesla marcan su entrada en el mercado de camiones eléctricos, un nicho que DHL también está explorando; la noticia es relevante pero no cambia el panorama competitivo de inmediato.
  • Tesla starts high-volume production of Semi truck at Nevada factory — La producción en alto volumen del Semi de Tesla es un avance en vehículos eléctricos comerciales, un área donde DHL está invirtiendo, pero no altera los fundamentales actuales de DHL.
  • Tesla Begins High-Volume Semi Production at Nevada Factory, Musk Says — El inicio de la producción en volumen del Semi de Tesla es una señal de competencia en logística, pero DHL tiene una red y escala que la protegen a corto plazo.

Verdict: Hold positions; valuation is reasonable and growth is solid, but moat quality is average and leverage is moderate.

Main risk: The main risk is exposure to the global economic cycle and international trade, which could impact freight and express volumes. Net debt/EBITDA of 2.82 is manageable, but a high-rate environment could pressure financing costs.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.