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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Dollarama DOL.TO

Canada Consumer Defensive
5.7/10
AI Analyst score
183.57 CAD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 207.47 (+13.0%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; business quality justifies the premium, but the margin of safety is limited at these prices.

Dollarama is a Canadian discount store chain offering a wide range of consumer products at low fixed prices, with a business model based on volume and operational efficiency. Dollarama shows exceptional quality (ROE 93.09%, operating margin 23.07%) and solid growth (revenue +17.6%), with raised 2027 guidance. However, its valuation is very demanding (P/E 36.94, EV/EBITDA 28.45), limiting upside potential in the short term.

Financial health
5.1
Quality / Moat
8.1
Valuation
2.8
Growth
7.2
Dividend
2.8
Momentum
4.0
Risk & Context
8.7

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E36.94
Fwd P/E31.36
EV/EBITDA28.45
P/B33.44
P/S6.25
PEG2.41
Market cap49.26 B CAD
Enterprise value54.69 B CAD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)24.6%
Gross margin44.69%
FCF conversion64%
Operating margin23.07%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE93.09%
ROA14.19%
Net margin17.32%
FCF1.24 B CAD
FCF yield2.52%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt5.91 B CAD
Net debt5.42 B CAD
Cash485.0 M CAD
EBITDA1.92 B CAD
Net debt / EBITDA2.82
D/E399.80
Current ratio1.55
Quick ratio0.49
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth17.60%
Earnings growth11.20%
EPS (TTM)4.97 CAD
EPS (Fwd)5.85 CAD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.26%
Payout9.1%
Beta0.36
Analyst consensusBuy (17)
Target price207.47 CAD
52-week range163.25 CAD – 209.96 CAD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the demanding valuation (P/E 36.94, EV/EBITDA 28.45) leaving little room for any consumer slowdown or execution misstep.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Dollarama is a Canadian discount store chain offering a wide range of consumer products at low fixed prices, with a business model based on volume and operational efficiency. Dollarama shows exceptional quality (ROE 93.09%, operating margin 23.07%) and solid growth (revenue +17.6%), with raised 2027 guidance. However, its valuation is very demanding (P/E 36.94, EV/EBITDA 28.45), limiting upside potential in the short term.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health5.1
Quality / Moat8.1
Valuation2.8
Growth7.2
Dividend2.8
Momentum4.0
Risk & Context8.7

OVERALL SCORE: 5.7/10

Context and risks

Dollarama operates in Canada, a country with moderate governance risk. There is no material exposure to current macro factors (rates, oil, geopolitics) given its defensive consumer profile and mostly local supply chain.

News considered in the analysis

  • Dollarama raises fiscal 2027 guidance after Q2 sales growth — La subida de guidance tras un crecimiento de ventas del 17.6% es una señal material de fortaleza operativa, parcialmente descontada tras la publicación de resultados.
  • Dollarama Inc (DLMAF) (Q2 2027) Earnings Call Highlights: Sales Surge 17. ... — El crecimiento de ventas del 17.6% confirma la solidez del negocio, aunque el mercado ya lo anticipaba en parte.
  • What Is Dollarama (TSX:DOL) Signaling With Its Raised 2027 Guidance? — Análisis de la señal de la guía elevada; refuerza la narrativa positiva pero sin información nueva.
  • TSX Closer: Index Falls as Energy Shares Slide With Oil; Investors Weigh Fed Rate Hike — Ruido de mercado general sin impacto directo en Dollarama.
  • Dollarama Q2 Earnings Call Highlights — Resumen de la llamada de resultados; consistente con la guía elevada.

Verdict: Hold; business quality justifies the premium, but the margin of safety is limited at these prices.

Main risk: The main risk is the demanding valuation (P/E 36.94, EV/EBITDA 28.45) leaving little room for any consumer slowdown or execution misstep.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.