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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Costco COST

United States Consumer Defensive
5.6/10
AI Analyst score
922.76 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 1,057.80 (+14.6%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold positions; the quality of the business justifies the premium, but the margin of safety is limited at current levels.

Costco is a membership retailer operating large-format warehouses selling a wide variety of products at low prices, generating revenue primarily through membership fees and thin margins on merchandise. Costco presents solid financial health (6.94) and stable growth (6.93), but its valuation is demanding (2.81) with a P/E of 44.45 and an EV/EBITDA of 27.60, reflecting a quality premium that the market already discounts.

Financial health
6.9
Quality / Moat
6.5
Valuation
2.8
Growth
6.9
Dividend
4.8
Momentum
5.2
Risk & Context
7.1

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E44.45
Fwd P/E36.94
EV/EBITDA27.60
P/B11.42
P/S1.35
PEG4.52
Market cap409.03 B USD
Enterprise value396.31 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)27.1%
Gross margin12.82%
FCF conversion50%
Operating margin3.97%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE28.40%
ROA8.79%
Net margin3.04%
FCF7.15 B USD
FCF yield1.75%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt8.58 B USD
Net debt-12.73 B USD
Cash21.30 B USD
EBITDA14.36 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA-0.89
D/E23.95
Current ratio1.06
Quick ratio0.57
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth11.10%
Earnings growth15.00%
EPS (TTM)20.76 USD
EPS (Fwd)24.98 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.64%
Payout26.7%
Beta0.85
Analyst consensusBuy (35)
Target price1,057.80 USD
52-week range844.06 USD – 1,096.50 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the high valuation (P/E 44.45) which, although supported by a 27.13% ROIC, leaves little room for disappointment in earnings growth.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Costco is a membership retailer operating large-format warehouses selling a wide variety of products at low prices, generating revenue primarily through membership fees and thin margins on merchandise. Costco presents solid financial health (6.94) and stable growth (6.93), but its valuation is demanding (2.81) with a P/E of 44.45 and an EV/EBITDA of 27.60, reflecting a quality premium that the market already discounts.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health6.9
Quality / Moat6.5
Valuation2.8
Growth6.9
Dividend4.8
Momentum5.2
Risk & Context7.1

OVERALL SCORE: 5.6/10

Context and risks

The macro context of rising rates and geopolitical tensions does not materially affect Costco's business. Its defensive consumer model and strong balance sheet make it immune to rate movements and higher oil prices.

News considered in the analysis

  • COST Stock Wrapped Its Best Week Since May: Analysts Still See Multiple Growth Drivers For Costco Despite Trimming Price Targets — El repunte semanal y el respaldo de los analistas, aunque con recortes de precio objetivo, sugieren un sentimiento positivo moderado que no está totalmente descontado.
  • Company News for Sep 28, 2026 — Titular genérico sin información específica sobre la empresa.
  • Stocktwits Retail Therapy: Defensive Bets Take Off As COST, DG, WMT Lead Weekly Consumer Staples Gains — El liderazgo en ganancias semanales del sector de consumo defensivo refleja un entorno de aversión al riesgo que favorece a Costco, aunque el movimiento ya se ha producido en parte.
  • Can Costco (COST) and Uber (UBER) Make Warehouse Delivery Economically Attractive? — Artículo especulativo sobre una posible iniciativa de entrega, sin detalles concretos ni impacto financiero material.
  • In 1980, His Business Became The Fastest Company In History To Reach $1 Billion In Sales. Today, His Heirs Sit On Top a $453 Billion Combined Fortune. Here’s How Sam Walton Built the Biggest Retail Empire in America’s History — Artículo histórico sobre Walmart, sin relevancia para las perspectivas actuales de Costco.

Verdict: Hold positions; the quality of the business justifies the premium, but the margin of safety is limited at current levels.

Main risk: The main risk is the high valuation (P/E 44.45) which, although supported by a 27.13% ROIC, leaves little room for disappointment in earnings growth.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.