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Expeditors International of Washington EXPD

United States Industrials
6.6/10
AI Analyst score
187.46 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 177.71 (-5.2%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the quality is undeniable, but the price already discounts it and the freight cycle may be turning.

Expeditors International of Washington is a global freight forwarder that manages the air and ocean transportation of its clients' goods, also offering supply chain management and customs services, without owning the transport assets. Expeditors shows solid financial health with net cash (ND/EBITDA of -0.37) and exceptional returns (ROE of 42.67%, ROIC of 47.99%), but its valuation is demanding (P/E 27.33) and the strong earnings growth (51.50%) could be near a cyclical peak.

Financial health
7.6
Quality / Moat
7.7
Valuation
4.5
Growth
8.7
Dividend
4.8
Momentum
8.5
Risk & Context
5.6

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E27.33
Fwd P/E23.65
EV/EBITDA18.92
P/B11.50
P/S2.02
PEG2.97
Market cap24.37 B USD
Enterprise value23.91 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)48.0%
Gross margin13.55%
FCF conversion63%
Operating margin10.71%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE42.67%
ROA15.23%
Net margin7.63%
FCF797.6 M USD
FCF yield3.27%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt567.3 M USD
Net debt-464.2 M USD
Cash1.03 B USD
EBITDA1.26 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA-0.37
D/E26.75
Current ratio1.57
Quick ratio1.43
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth32.10%
Earnings growth51.50%
EPS (TTM)6.86 USD
EPS (Fwd)7.93 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.86%
Payout23.0%
Beta1.06
Analyst consensusnone (14)
Target price177.71 USD
52-week range112.95 USD – 194.59 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the normalization of the freight market: if rates fall from current levels, the revenue and earnings growth (32.10% and 51.50%) could reverse sharply, impacting the valuation.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Expeditors International of Washington is a global freight forwarder that manages the air and ocean transportation of its clients' goods, also offering supply chain management and customs services, without owning the transport assets. Expeditors shows solid financial health with net cash (ND/EBITDA of -0.37) and exceptional returns (ROE of 42.67%, ROIC of 47.99%), but its valuation is demanding (P/E 27.33) and the strong earnings growth (51.50%) could be near a cyclical peak.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health7.6
Quality / Moat7.7
Valuation4.5
Growth8.7
Dividend4.8
Momentum8.5
Risk & Context5.6

OVERALL SCORE: 6.6/10

Context and risks

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz and attacks in the Red Sea raise freight costs and can cause disruptions on key routes for EXPD's forwarding business. However, as a forwarder, EXPD can pass these higher costs on to its clients, mitigating the negative impact.

News considered in the analysis

  • 3 Reasons to Sell EXPD and 1 Stock to Buy Instead — Artículo de opinión con sesgo vendedor; refleja preocupaciones sobre la valoración y el entorno de fletes, pero no aporta información nueva y concreta sobre la empresa.
  • GXO Pilots Global Labor Management System Ahead of 2027 Rollout — Noticia sobre un competidor (GXO) sin impacto directo en los fundamentales de EXPD.
  • Is Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp. (ECO) Outperforming Other Transportation Stocks This Year? — Comparativa sectorial genérica sin información relevante para EXPD.
  • American Airlines Expands U.S.-Asia Reach With STARLUX Codeshare Deal — Noticia de una aerolínea, no relacionada con el negocio de freight forwarding de EXPD.
  • Wabtec Secures $700M+ Rail Services Deal, Expands Africa Footprint — Noticia de otra empresa del sector transporte (Wabtec), sin impacto directo en EXPD.

Verdict: Hold; the quality is undeniable, but the price already discounts it and the freight cycle may be turning.

Main risk: The main risk is the normalization of the freight market: if rates fall from current levels, the revenue and earnings growth (32.10% and 51.50%) could reverse sharply, impacting the valuation.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.