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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Ferguson Enterprises FERG

United States Industrials
5.9/10
AI Analyst score
222.74 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 287.48 (+29.1%)
🛒 Where to buy FERGPartner brokers · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € orderUS (NYSE/Nasdaq)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold. Quality and execution are good, but valuation does not offer a sufficient margin of safety and the high-rate environment adds uncertainty to the construction cycle.

Ferguson Enterprises is the largest distributor of plumbing, heating, and climate control (HVAC) products for the construction and maintenance markets in North America. Ferguson Enterprises shows solid financial health (ND/EBITDA 2.10) and exceptional quality (ROIC 24.41%), but its valuation (P/E 21.92) and moderate growth (4.6% revenue) limit its appeal. HVAC expansion and its ability to beat expectations in a weak housing market are positive, although rising interest rates could pressure future demand.

Financial health
6.0
Quality / Moat
7.2
Valuation
5.2
Growth
5.6
Dividend
6.1
Momentum
4.6
Risk & Context
5.5

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E21.92
Fwd P/E17.77
EV/EBITDA16.13
P/B6.95
P/S1.37
PEG1.40
Market cap43.09 B USD
Enterprise value49.54 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)24.4%
Gross margin30.63%
FCF conversionN/D
Operating margin10.16%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROEN/D
ROAN/D
Net margin6.32%
FCFN/D
FCF yieldN/D
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt6.89 B USD
Net debt6.45 B USD
Cash437.0 M USD
EBITDA3.07 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA2.10
D/E111.06
Current ratio1.73
Quick ratio0.74
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth4.60%
Earnings growth6.90%
EPS (TTM)10.16 USD
EPS (Fwd)12.53 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield1.60%
Payout33.3%
Beta1.11
Analyst consensusBuy (21)
Target price287.48 USD
52-week range212.13 USD – 271.64 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the sensitivity of its business to the US construction cycle, which could weaken if rising interest rates (10-year at 5.17%) slow new construction and renovation activity.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Ferguson Enterprises is the largest distributor of plumbing, heating, and climate control (HVAC) products for the construction and maintenance markets in North America. Ferguson Enterprises shows solid financial health (ND/EBITDA 2.10) and exceptional quality (ROIC 24.41%), but its valuation (P/E 21.92) and moderate growth (4.6% revenue) limit its appeal. HVAC expansion and its ability to beat expectations in a weak housing market are positive, although rising interest rates could pressure future demand.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health6.0
Quality / Moat7.2
Valuation5.2
Growth5.6
Dividend6.1
Momentum4.6
Risk & Context5.5

OVERALL SCORE: 5.9/10

Context and risks

Ferguson's business is tied to the US construction and maintenance cycle. The rise in 10-year Treasury yields (5.17%) makes financing construction projects more expensive, which could pressure future demand for its products. However, its diversification in the maintenance (MRO) market and its strong balance sheet partially mitigate this risk.

News considered in the analysis

  • Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) Leans On HVAC Expansion As Undervalued View Holds — La expansión en HVAC es una estrategia de crecimiento clave que puede impulsar ingresos y márgenes, aunque su éxito aún no está garantizado.
  • Ferguson (FERG) Keeps Beating a Housing Market That Refuses to Cooperate — La capacidad de superar expectativas en un mercado de vivienda débil demuestra la fortaleza del modelo de negocio y la ejecución de la empresa.
  • Ferguson Stock: Is FERG Underperforming the Industrial Sector? — Artículo de análisis comparativo sin información nueva o material.
  • These 3 Boring Stocks Have One Thing in Common: Demand That Cannot Wait — Listículo genérico sin información específica y material sobre Ferguson.
  • Core & Main Reaffirms Fiscal 2026 Outlook Following Second-Quarter Beat — Noticia sobre un competidor, sin impacto directo en Ferguson.

Verdict: Hold. Quality and execution are good, but valuation does not offer a sufficient margin of safety and the high-rate environment adds uncertainty to the construction cycle.

Main risk: The main risk is the sensitivity of its business to the US construction cycle, which could weaken if rising interest rates (10-year at 5.17%) slow new construction and renovation activity.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.