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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Fomento Economico Mexicano FMX

Mexico Consumer Defensive
6.5/10
AI Analyst score
119.62 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 134.79 (+12.7%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the solid competitive position and growth justify the current valuation, but governance risk in Mexico and the unsustainable payout limit upside potential.

FEMSA is a Mexican consumer defensive holding, primarily operating the world's largest Coca-Cola bottler (Coca-Cola FEMSA) and the OXXO convenience store chain, with a diversified business model in beverages and retail. FEMSA combines solid growth (revenues +9.3%, earnings +107.5%) with very strong free cash flow generation (87.03% conversion) and a reasonable valuation (EV/EBITDA 8.34, FCF yield 12.38%), although its 139% payout and moderate debt (ND/EBITDA 1.31) require monitoring.

Financial health
6.0
Quality / Moat
6.7
Valuation
6.6
Growth
8.2
Dividend
4.3
Momentum
7.1
Risk & Context
6.4

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E24.26
Fwd P/E22.78
EV/EBITDA8.34
P/B2.96
P/S0.83
PEG4.73
Market cap40.75 B USD
Enterprise value860.41 B MXN
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)14.0%
Gross margin40.51%
FCF conversion87%
Operating margin8.00%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE14.75%
ROA6.36%
Net margin3.58%
FCF89.77 B MXN
FCF yield12.38%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt253.00 B MXN
Net debt135.08 B MXN
Cash117.93 B MXN
EBITDA103.16 B MXN
Net debt / EBITDA1.31
D/E84.07
Current ratio1.14
Quick ratio0.82
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth9.30%
Earnings growth107.50%
EPS (TTM)4.93 USD
EPS (Fwd)5.25 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield4.93%
Payout139.2%
Beta0.17
Analyst consensusBuy (14)
Target price134.79 USD
52-week range90.87 USD – 141.47 USD
⚠️ Main risk: Governance risk in Mexico, with weak minority shareholder protection and potential political interference, which could affect value creation for minority shareholders.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

FEMSA is a Mexican consumer defensive holding, primarily operating the world's largest Coca-Cola bottler (Coca-Cola FEMSA) and the OXXO convenience store chain, with a diversified business model in beverages and retail. FEMSA combines solid growth (revenues +9.3%, earnings +107.5%) with very strong free cash flow generation (87.03% conversion) and a reasonable valuation (EV/EBITDA 8.34, FCF yield 12.38%), although its 139% payout and moderate debt (ND/EBITDA 1.31) require monitoring.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health6.0
Quality / Moat6.7
Valuation6.6
Growth8.2
Dividend4.3
Momentum7.1
Risk & Context6.4

OVERALL SCORE: 6.5/10

Context and risks

Elevated governance risk in Mexico. Although FEMSA has professionalized management and a diversified business, exposure to the Mexican jurisdiction carries risks of legal uncertainty and weak minority shareholder protection.

News considered in the analysis

  • Oxxo USA taps Gaskins to lead marketing and category management — Nombramiento de un directivo senior para liderar marketing en la expansión de OXXO en EE. UU., refuerza la estrategia de crecimiento en un mercado clave.
  • Mexico's Primero raises $12 million seed to bring AI to Latin American blue-chips — Noticia sobre una startup de IA que no tiene relación directa con el negocio de FEMSA.
  • Will FEMSA's Digital Push Through SPIN Unlock More Growth? — Artículo de análisis sobre la iniciativa digital SPIN; el potencial de crecimiento ya está parcialmente descontado en el precio.
  • What did c-store CEOs make in 2025? Here’s what the filings show. — Listículo sobre compensación de ejecutivos, sin información nueva relevante para la valoración.
  • Zacks Industry Outlook The Coca-Cola, Monster, Fomento, Primo and The Vita Coco — Comparativa sectorial genérica sin información específica nueva sobre FEMSA.

Verdict: Hold; the solid competitive position and growth justify the current valuation, but governance risk in Mexico and the unsustainable payout limit upside potential.

Main risk: Governance risk in Mexico, with weak minority shareholder protection and potential political interference, which could affect value creation for minority shareholders.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.