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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Heineken HEIA.AS

Netherlands Consumer Defensive
6.4/10
AI Analyst score
71.40 EUR
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 89.14 (+24.8%)
🛒 Where to buy HEIA.ASPartner brokers · Netherlands (Euronext) · sample 200.00 € orderNetherlands (Euronext)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold or buy on dips: valuation is reasonable and growth is solid, but watch leverage and weak US consumption.

Heineken is one of the world's largest brewers, with a portfolio of premium and international brands, operating in more than 70 countries and generating revenue from the sale of beer and other beverages. Heineken shows moderate financial health (ND/EBITDA 3.22) but an attractive valuation (P/E 17.41, FCF yield 7.60%) and 54.1% earnings growth, supported by emerging markets and efficiencies, with a covered dividend (payout 46.34%).

Financial health
4.7
Quality / Moat
5.1
Valuation
7.0
Growth
7.2
Dividend
7.4
Momentum
5.3
Risk & Context
8.4

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E17.41
Fwd P/E12.48
EV/EBITDA10.68
P/B2.05
P/S1.34
PEG1.21
Market cap39.54 B EUR
Enterprise value59.10 B EUR
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)7.7%
Gross margin36.98%
FCF conversion54%
Operating margin10.46%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE12.13%
ROA3.99%
Net margin7.70%
FCF3.00 B EUR
FCF yield7.60%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt20.64 B EUR
Net debt17.81 B EUR
Cash2.83 B EUR
EBITDA5.53 B EUR
Net debt / EBITDA3.22
D/E95.11
Current ratio0.75
Quick ratio0.51
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth4.70%
Earnings growth54.10%
EPS (TTM)4.10 EUR
EPS (Fwd)5.72 EUR
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield2.69%
Payout46.3%
Beta0.56
Analyst consensusBuy (23)
Target price89.14 EUR
52-week range63.90 EUR – 80.44 EUR
⚠️ Main risk: High leverage (ND/EBITDA 3.22) and structural weakness in alcohol consumption in key markets like the US, aggravated by the GLP-1 trend.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Heineken is one of the world's largest brewers, with a portfolio of premium and international brands, operating in more than 70 countries and generating revenue from the sale of beer and other beverages. Heineken shows moderate financial health (ND/EBITDA 3.22) but an attractive valuation (P/E 17.41, FCF yield 7.60%) and 54.1% earnings growth, supported by emerging markets and efficiencies, with a covered dividend (payout 46.34%).

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health4.7
Quality / Moat5.1
Valuation7.0
Growth7.2
Dividend7.4
Momentum5.3
Risk & Context8.4

OVERALL SCORE: 6.4/10

Context and risks

The macro context (rates, oil, geopolitics) does not materially affect Heineken: its business is defensive consumer, with no direct exposure to commodities or relevant interest rates. The country's moderate regulatory risk (Netherlands) is already reflected in the base score.

News considered in the analysis

  • Heineken Sees Vietnam, India, China as Growth Markets — Refuerza la tesis de crecimiento en mercados emergentes, pero es una declaración estratégica sin cifras concretas.
  • Heineken (ENXTAM:HEIA) Buyback Keeps Undervalued Narrative In Focus — El programa de recompra apoya el precio y subraya la percepción de infravaloración, aunque ya es conocido.
  • Heineken, Stonegate coy on report of pubs deal — Rumor no confirmado sobre una posible operación; sin detalles y con impacto incierto.
  • Europe Is Stronger Than Investors Think. What to Own Now. — Artículo de opinión generalista sin información específica sobre Heineken.
  • 'US Consumption of Alcoholic Beverages Is at Historic Lows': Heineken Hires GLP-1 Pitchwoman to Sell Beer — La caída del consumo de alcohol en EE.UU. y la tendencia GLP-1 son un viento en contra, aunque la respuesta de marketing es creativa.

Verdict: Hold or buy on dips: valuation is reasonable and growth is solid, but watch leverage and weak US consumption.

Main risk: High leverage (ND/EBITDA 3.22) and structural weakness in alcohol consumption in key markets like the US, aggravated by the GLP-1 trend.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.