Mobico Group MCG.L
Mobico Group is a public transport and mobility services operator (buses, trains and coaches) in the UK and other European countries, with a business model based on concessions and public service contracts. Mobico Group shows very weak financial health (ND/EBITDA 6.02, liquidity 0.64) and negative revenue growth (-19.6%), explaining its low scores. Valuation looks extremely cheap (P/E 2.16), but it's a value trap: the business is contracting and the balance sheet is highly leveraged.
Detailed metrics
Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.
Full AI report
Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.
Mobico Group is a public transport and mobility services operator (buses, trains and coaches) in the UK and other European countries, with a business model based on concessions and public service contracts. Mobico Group shows very weak financial health (ND/EBITDA 6.02, liquidity 0.64) and negative revenue growth (-19.6%), explaining its low scores. Valuation looks extremely cheap (P/E 2.16), but it's a value trap: the business is contracting and the balance sheet is highly leveraged.
Score by category
| Category | Score |
|---|---|
| Financial health | 1.8 |
| Quality / Moat | 6.6 |
| Valuation | 5.0 |
| Growth | 0.1 |
| Dividend | 1.5 |
| Momentum | 1.2 |
| Risk & Context | 4.5 |
OVERALL SCORE: 3.7/10
Context and risks
Rising UK rates (ECB context, not Fed) make refinancing a very high net debt of 6.02x EBITDA more expensive, concentrating balance sheet risk. No exposure to shipping routes; the main risk is financial, not geopolitical.
News considered in the analysis
- Mobico Group Q4 Earnings Call Highlights — Resumen de resultados ya publicados y cubiertos por el mercado; sin información nueva material.
- How The Mobico Group (LSE:MCG) Narrative Is Shifting Around Execution Risk And Upside Potential — Artículo de análisis sin hechos concretos nuevos; discute riesgos ya conocidos.
- Mobico Group H2 Earnings Call Highlights — Resumen de resultados ya publicados; sin información nueva material.
- How Recent Analyst Moves Are Rewriting the Story for Mobico Group — Menciona movimientos de analistas pero sin detalles específicos sobre cambios de recomendación o precio objetivo.
- How the Story for Mobico Group is Evolving After Recent Analyst Updates — Artículo genérico sobre la evolución de la narrativa; sin datos concretos.
Verdict: Avoid. The combination of massive debt, collapsing revenue, and no dividend makes balance sheet risk outweigh any valuation appeal.
Main risk: The main risk is financial: net debt of 6.02x EBITDA with liquidity of 0.64 and rising UK interest rates could lead to solvency issues if the revenue decline continues.
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