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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Iveco Group IVG.MI

Italy Industrials
3.5/10
AI Analyst score
14.12 EUR
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 17.70 (+25.4%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold pending concrete news on a potential Tata Motors bid and an improvement in fundamentals; high leverage and weak profitability limit current appeal.

Iveco Group is an Italian manufacturer of commercial vehicles, buses, and special vehicles, with a business model focused on the design, production, and sale of industrial vehicles and related services. Iveco Group presents very weak financial health (ND/EBITDA of 8.11) and poor profitability (ROE 2.43%), although its forward P/E (6.72) and FCF yield (39.04%) suggest the market is pricing in a recovery that is not yet reflected in results.

Financial health
2.1
Quality / Moat
3.5
Valuation
5.0
Growth
2.9
Dividend
3.6
Momentum
3.4
Risk & Context
3.3

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E61.37
Fwd P/E6.72
EV/EBITDA16.88
P/B1.52
P/S0.27
PEGN/D
Market cap3.76 B EUR
Enterprise value7.36 B EUR
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)5.7%
Gross margin13.12%
FCF conversion337%
Operating margin3.45%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE2.43%
ROA1.05%
Net margin9.86%
FCF1.47 B EUR
FCF yield39.04%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt5.91 B EUR
Net debt3.54 B EUR
Cash2.37 B EUR
EBITDA436.0 M EUR
Net debt / EBITDA8.11
D/E233.43
Current ratio1.91
Quick ratio1.36
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth7.30%
Earnings growth-64.20%
EPS (TTM)0.23 EUR
EPS (Fwd)2.10 EUR
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield2.34%
Payout0.0%
Beta1.03
Analyst consensusHold (5)
Target price17.70 EUR
52-week range13.72 EUR – 19.71 EUR
⚠️ Main risk: High leverage (ND/EBITDA of 8.11) and exposure to global supply chain disruptions, especially on key shipping routes, are the main risks for Iveco Group.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Iveco Group is an Italian manufacturer of commercial vehicles, buses, and special vehicles, with a business model focused on the design, production, and sale of industrial vehicles and related services. Iveco Group presents very weak financial health (ND/EBITDA of 8.11) and poor profitability (ROE 2.43%), although its forward P/E (6.72) and FCF yield (39.04%) suggest the market is pricing in a recovery that is not yet reflected in results.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health2.1
Quality / Moat3.5
Valuation5.0
Growth2.9
Dividend3.6
Momentum3.4
Risk & Context3.3

OVERALL SCORE: 3.5/10

Context and risks

High exposure to supply chains and shipping routes affected by the blockade in the Strait of Hormuz and attacks in the Red Sea, increasing operational and cost risks. Additionally, the Section 301 tariff framework is fragile and litigated, with potential impacts on component import costs.

News considered in the analysis

  • Iveco Group (BIT:IVG) Could Be 22% Below Fair Value After Tata Motors Bid — Una oferta de Tata Motors es un evento material que podría revalorizar la acción, pero su materialización es incierta y el mercado ya ha descontado parcialmente la posibilidad.
  • Tata Motors eyes top-four CV slot via Iveco deal — Confirma el interés estratégico de Tata Motors, reforzando la probabilidad de una operación corporativa, aunque sigue siendo especulativa.
  • Iveco Group (BIT:IVG) Stock Looks Fully Valued On A 133% Three Year Run — La revalorización pasada puede limitar el potencial alcista, pero es una opinión de valoración que el mercado ya conoce.
  • Stellantis (BIT:STLAM) Taps Michele Ziosi To Lead Public Affairs As Rules Shift — Noticia sobre un competidor sin impacto directo en Iveco.
  • European Value Stocks Trading At Estimated Discounts — Listículo genérico sin información específica sobre Iveco.

Verdict: Hold pending concrete news on a potential Tata Motors bid and an improvement in fundamentals; high leverage and weak profitability limit current appeal.

Main risk: High leverage (ND/EBITDA of 8.11) and exposure to global supply chain disruptions, especially on key shipping routes, are the main risks for Iveco Group.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.